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犬类种群管理背景下投资的财务及社会经济影响

Financial and Socio-Economic Effects of Investment in the Context of Dog Population Management.

作者信息

Ćetković Jasmina, Žarković Miloš, Knežević Miloš, Cvetkovska Meri, Vujadinović Radoje, Rutešić Snežana, Beljkaš Željka, Grujić Marija, Adžić Bojan

机构信息

Faculty of Economics, University of Montenegro, 81000 Podgorica, Montenegro.

Faculty of Civil Engineering, University of Montenegro, 81000 Podgorica, Montenegro.

出版信息

Animals (Basel). 2022 Nov 17;12(22):3176. doi: 10.3390/ani12223176.

Abstract

The modern world faces serious challenges associated with the presence of stray dogs on the streets, especially in urban areas. Vardar Planning Region in North Macedonia, which consists of nine municipalities, experiences such challenges. According to current reports, the number of stray dogs on the streets of cities in this region has increased, which has resulted in an increase in the number of dog attacks on residents. As the existing capacities are small in the registered shelters, we considered the possibility of building a new shelter for stray dogs to meet the needs of this region. The goal of our paper is the evaluation of the financial and socio-economic justifications for the construction of a shelter for stray dogs in the Vardar Planning Region (VPR). The results of the financial justification analysis show that the project does not provide satisfactory financial results. Namely, the Financial Net Present Value (FNPV) is negative, with a value of EUR 75,291. The Financial Internal Rate of Return (FIRR) is 0.57%, lower than the discount rate, which is not acceptable for a private investor. The Financial Benefit-Cost Ratio (FB/CR) of this project is 0.925, suggesting that the total discounted costs are greater than the total discounted revenues. On the other hand, the expected socio-economic benefits from this project are multifaceted, including savings in stray dog bite costs, savings in the cost of traffic accidents caused by stray dogs, and savings in the treatment of diseases caused by stray dogs. The results of the economic analysis show that this investment has full socio-economic justification and that it should be implemented. The Economic Net Present Value (ENPV) is positive and amounts to EUR 789,916. The Economic Internal Rate of Return (EIRR) is 25.94% and the Economic Benefit-Cost Ratio (EB/CR) amounts to 1.90, i.e., greater than 1. The results of the sensitivity analysis also confirm the justification for the realization of this project.

摘要

现代世界面临着与街头流浪狗的存在相关的严峻挑战,尤其是在城市地区。北马其顿的瓦尔达尔规划区由九个市镇组成,也面临着此类挑战。根据目前的报告,该地区城市街道上的流浪狗数量有所增加,这导致狗对居民的攻击次数增多。由于注册庇护所的现有收容能力有限,我们考虑了建造一个新的流浪狗庇护所的可能性,以满足该地区的需求。本文的目标是评估在瓦尔达尔规划区(VPR)建造流浪狗庇护所的财务和社会经济合理性。财务合理性分析结果表明,该项目没有提供令人满意的财务结果。具体而言,财务净现值(FNPV)为负,价值为75,291欧元。财务内部收益率(FIRR)为0.57%,低于贴现率,这对于私人投资者来说是不可接受的。该项目的财务效益成本比(FB/CR)为0.925,表明总贴现成本大于总贴现收入。另一方面,该项目预期的社会经济效益是多方面的,包括流浪狗咬人成本的节省、流浪狗造成的交通事故成本的节省以及流浪狗引发疾病治疗成本的节省。经济分析结果表明,这项投资具有充分的社会经济合理性,应该实施。经济净现值(ENPV)为正,达789,916欧元。经济内部收益率(EIRR)为25.94%,经济效益成本比(EB/CR)为1.90,即大于1。敏感性分析结果也证实了实施该项目的合理性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c923/9686499/681227617e94/animals-12-03176-g001.jpg

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