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受地形和海洋环流影响的南半球气候更加多变。

Stormier Southern Hemisphere induced by topography and ocean circulation.

机构信息

Department of the Geophysical Sciences, The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL 60637.

Applied Physics Laboratory, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98105.

出版信息

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2022 Dec 13;119(50):e2123512119. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2123512119. Epub 2022 Dec 5.

Abstract

A defining feature of Earth's present-day climate is that the Southern Hemisphere is stormier than the Northern Hemisphere. Consistently, the Southern Hemisphere has a stronger jet stream and more extreme weather events than the Northern Hemisphere. Understanding the relative importance of land-ocean contrast, including topography, radiative processes, and ocean circulation for determining this storminess asymmetry is important and may be helpful for interpreting projections of future storminess. Here, we show that the stormier Southern Hemisphere is induced by nearly equal contributions from topography and the ocean circulation, which moves energy from the Southern to Northern Hemisphere. These findings are based on 1) diagnostic energetic analyses applied to observations and climate model simulations and 2) modifying surface (land and ocean) boundary conditions in climate model simulations. Flattening topography and prescribing hemispherically symmetric surface energy fluxes (the manifestation of ocean energy transport on the atmosphere) in a climate model reduce the storminess asymmetry from 23 to 12% and 11%, respectively. Finally, we use the energetic perspective to interpret storminess trends since the beginning of the satellite era. We show that the Southern Hemisphere has become stormier, consistent with implied ocean energy transport changes in the Southern Ocean. In the Northern Hemisphere, storminess has not changed significantly consistent with oceanic and radiative (increased absorption of sunlight due to the loss of sea ice and snow) changes opposing one another. The trends are qualitatively consistent with climate model projections.

摘要

地球现今气候的一个显著特征是南半球的风暴比北半球更为频繁。一直以来,南半球的急流更强,极端天气事件也比北半球更为频繁。了解陆地-海洋对比(包括地形、辐射过程和海洋环流)对确定这种风暴不对称性的相对重要性很重要,这可能有助于解释未来风暴活动的预测。在这里,我们表明,南半球的风暴活动更为频繁是由地形和海洋环流的近乎相等的贡献引起的,这些贡献将能量从南半球转移到了北半球。这些发现基于以下三个方面:1)对观测和气候模型模拟应用诊断性能量分析;2)在气候模型模拟中修改地表(陆地和海洋)边界条件。在气候模型中,使地形平坦化并规定半球对称的地表能量通量(海洋能量向大气输送的表现),可分别将风暴活动不对称性从 23%降低到 12%和 11%。最后,我们利用能量学的角度来解释自卫星时代开始以来的风暴活动趋势。我们表明,南半球的风暴活动变得更加频繁,这与南大洋海洋能量输送的变化一致。在北半球,风暴活动没有明显变化,这与海洋和辐射(由于海冰和雪的损失导致阳光吸收增加)的变化相互抵消。这些趋势与气候模型的预测定性一致。

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