Böcker Lars, Olsson Lars E, Priya Uteng Tanu, Friman Margareta
Institute of Transport Economics, Oslo, Norway.
CTF Service Research Center, Karlstad University, Sweden.
Transp Res D Transp Environ. 2023 Jan;114:103562. doi: 10.1016/j.trd.2022.103562. Epub 2022 Dec 22.
COVID-19 has brought severe disruption and demand suppression to mobility, especially to public transport (PT). A key challenge now is to restore trust that PT is safe again. This paper investigates pandemic impacts on PT safety and stress perceptions in three Nordic cities, drawing on 2018 and 2020 survey data analysed in structural equation models. While finding modest pandemic effects on safety and stress perceptions overall, strong heterogeneities exist across gender, age and geographic categories. Women perceive less PT safety and more stress, especially during the pandemic. Older adults reduced PT more during the pandemic and perceived no stress reduction like younger adults. Stockholm travellers feel less safe and more stressed than in Oslo and Bergen, whilst pandemic PT use and perceived safety reductions are least in Bergen. The paper discusses the long-term implications for theory and policy across multiple mobility scenarios accounting for modal change and travel demand uncertainties.
新冠疫情给出行带来了严重干扰和需求抑制,尤其是对公共交通(PT)。当前的一个关键挑战是恢复人们对公共交通再次安全的信任。本文利用在结构方程模型中分析的2018年和2020年调查数据,研究了疫情对北欧三个城市公共交通安全和压力感知的影响。虽然总体上发现疫情对安全和压力感知的影响不大,但在性别、年龄和地理类别方面存在很强的异质性。女性认为公共交通的安全性较低,压力较大,尤其是在疫情期间。老年人在疫情期间减少乘坐公共交通的次数更多,并且不像年轻人那样感觉压力有所减轻。与奥斯陆和卑尔根相比,斯德哥尔摩的出行者感觉安全性更低,压力更大,而卑尔根的疫情期间公共交通使用量和感知到的安全性下降幅度最小。本文讨论了在考虑模式变化和出行需求不确定性的多种出行情景下,该研究对理论和政策的长期影响。