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基于自我报告的回应探讨新冠疫情对巴基斯坦个人出行行为的影响。

Impacts of COVID-19 on individuals' mobility behavior in Pakistan based on self-reported responses.

作者信息

Lee Jaeyoung, Baig Farrukh, Pervez Amjad

机构信息

School of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, 410075, PR China.

出版信息

J Transp Health. 2021 Sep;22:101228. doi: 10.1016/j.jth.2021.101228. Epub 2021 Aug 7.

Abstract

UNLABELLED

The COVID-19 pandemic has been extremely disturbing mobility behavior due to travel restrictions and perceived COVID-19 threats. Recently, researchers from developed countries have shown interest in quantifying the impacts of the COVID-19 on individuals' mobility; however, similar research themes in lower income developing countries like Pakistan have not been sufficiently explored. Therefore, the objectives of the study are; 1) to explore the changes in self-reported individual's mobility behavior-trip frequencies by mode and by purpose in three COVID-19 severity periods; 2) to quantify the effects of respondents' personal (i.e., age, gender, education, and living place), and perceived details (i.e., safety perceptions, the COVID-19 threat perceptions) on the change in mobility behavior in the COVID-19 severity change; 3) to analyze the willingness to use public transportation in the post-pandemic period.

METHODS

A web-based questionnaire survey was conducted from September 2020 to November 2020, resulting in 565 responses. Descriptive analysis, random parameter bivariate probit modeling, and structural equation modeling are adopted to achieve the objectives.

RESULTS

The results reflect the change in individuals' mobility behavior in three severity periods of COVID-19, including before outbreak, during the most serious period, and after the most serious period. A substantial reduction in individuals' mobility was observed during the most serious period, which is recovering back to normal. The results also indicate the relationship of individuals' personal and perceived characteristics with the change in mobility in COVID-19 severity changes from before-to-serious and from the serious-to-after most serious period.

CONCLUSION

The COVID-19 pandemic has been affecting individuals' mobility behavior in Pakistan. The study's findings provide insightful information for the transportation agencies to better prepare for sustainable transportation management in the post-pandemic era.

摘要

未标注

由于旅行限制和对新冠病毒的感知威胁,新冠疫情极大地扰乱了出行行为。最近,发达国家的研究人员对量化新冠疫情对个人出行的影响表现出兴趣;然而,在巴基斯坦等低收入发展中国家,类似的研究主题尚未得到充分探索。因此,本研究的目标是:1)探讨在三个新冠疫情严重时期,个体自我报告的出行行为(按出行方式和目的划分的出行频率)的变化;2)量化受访者的个人特征(即年龄、性别、教育程度和居住地点)以及感知细节(即安全感知、对新冠疫情的威胁感知)对新冠疫情严重程度变化中出行行为变化的影响;3)分析疫情后使用公共交通的意愿。

方法

于2020年9月至2020年11月进行了一项基于网络的问卷调查,共收到565份回复。采用描述性分析、随机参数双变量概率模型和结构方程模型来实现研究目标。

结果

结果反映了新冠疫情三个严重时期个体出行行为的变化,包括疫情爆发前、最严重时期和最严重时期之后。在最严重时期,个体出行大幅减少,目前正在恢复到正常水平。结果还表明了个体的个人特征和感知特征与新冠疫情严重程度从爆发前到严重时期以及从严重时期到最严重时期之后出行变化之间的关系。

结论

新冠疫情一直在影响巴基斯坦个体的出行行为。该研究结果为交通机构在疫情后时代更好地准备可持续交通管理提供了有见地的信息。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4b85/8426114/2715d6e63fcb/gr1_lrg.jpg

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