Cartes Carlos
Complex Systems Group, Facultad de Ingeniería y Ciencias Aplicadas, Universidad de los Andes, Santiago 7620001, Chile.
Chaos. 2022 Dec;32(12):123113. doi: 10.1063/5.0116750.
During the second half of October 2019, Chile, especially the capital city, Santiago, suffered from widespread violence and public and private infrastructure destruction. This work aims to expand an epidemiological non-local model that successfully described the French riots of 2005 to incorporate the topology of Santiago's subway network and explain the reported distribution of rioting activity in the city. Although the model reproduced the disorders' aggregated temporal evolution, it could not deliver results resembling the observed spatial distribution of activity on Santiago. The main reason for this failure can be attributed to the fact that the model lacks a population displacement mechanism, which seems vital to explain Santiago's unrest episodes.
2019年10月下旬，智利，尤其是首都圣地亚哥，遭受了广泛的暴力活动以及公共和私人基础设施的破坏。这项工作旨在扩展一个成功描述了2005年法国骚乱的非本地流行病学模型，将圣地亚哥地铁网络的拓扑结构纳入其中，并解释该市报告的骚乱活动分布情况。尽管该模型再现了骚乱的总体时间演变，但它无法得出与圣地亚哥观察到的活动空间分布相似的结果。这种失败的主要原因可归因于该模型缺乏人口迁移机制，而这似乎对于解释圣地亚哥的骚乱事件至关重要。
