Complex Systems Group, Facultad de Ingeniería y Ciencias Aplicadas, Universidad de Los Andes, Santiago, Chile.
Escuela de Gobierno, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile.
Sci Rep. 2022 Jun 22;12(1):10557. doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-14859-7.
Social disturbances due to socioeconomic and political factors received media attention during 2019 in places like France, Hong Kong, Chile, Nigeria, Sudan, Haiti, and Lebanon. In October 2019, Chile saw massive demonstrations in the capital city of Santiago. The cost of damage to infrastructure during the first month of unrest was estimated at US$ 4.6 billion, and the cost to the Chilean economy was about US$ 3 billion, 1.1% of its Gross Domestic Product. This study analyzes how the topology of the public transport network affected the locations of the 2019 riots in Santiago. On average, we find a clear association between proximity to the subway network and riot density. This association is significant only in neighborhoods with residents in the highest and lowest income quartiles. As a result, when analyzing social unrest and the critical role of public transport, policymakers should also consider the crucial role of income.
由于社会经济和政治因素导致的社会动荡在 2019 年受到媒体关注，发生地包括法国、中国香港、智利、尼日利亚、苏丹、海地和黎巴嫩等地。2019 年 10 月，智利首都圣地亚哥发生大规模示威活动。骚乱第一个月基础设施的损失估计为 46 亿美元，对智利经济的损失约为 30 亿美元，占其国内生产总值的 1.1%。本研究分析了公共交通网络的拓扑结构如何影响圣地亚哥 2019 年骚乱的发生地点。平均而言，我们发现与地铁网络的接近程度与暴乱密度之间存在明显的关联。这种关联仅在收入处于最高和最低四分位数的居民所在的街区显著。因此，在分析社会动荡和公共交通的关键作用时，政策制定者还应考虑收入的关键作用。
