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欧洲光谱绿化和气候异常增强的趋势。

Enhanced trends in spectral greening and climate anomalies across Europe.

机构信息

Department of Geography, Physical Geography - Landscape Ecology and Geoinformation, University of Kiel, Kiel, Germany.

CRC1266-Scales of Transformation, Project A2 'Integrative Modelling of Socio-Environmental Dynamics', University of Kiel, Kiel, Germany.

出版信息

Environ Monit Assess. 2023 Jan 4;195(2):260. doi: 10.1007/s10661-022-10853-8.

Abstract

Europe witnessed a strong increase in climate variability and enhanced climate-induced extreme events, such as hot drought periods, mega heat waves, and persistent flooding and flash floods. Intensified land degradation, land use, and landcover changes further amplified the pressure on the environmental system functionalities and fuelled climate change feedbacks. On the other hand, global satellite observations detected a positive spectral greening trend-most likely as a response to rising atmospheric CO concentrations and global warming. But which are the engines behind such shifts in surface reflectance patterns, vegetation response to global climate changes, or anomalies in the environmental control mechanisms? This article compares long-term environmental variables (1948-2021) to recent vegetation index data (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), 2001-2021) and presents regional trends in climate variability and vegetation response across Europe. Results show that positive trends in vegetation response, temperature, rainfall, and soil moisture are accompanied by a strong increase in climate anomalies over large parts of Europe. Vegetation dynamics are strongly coupled to increased temperature and enhanced soil moisture during winter and the early growing season in the northern latitudes. Simultaneously, temperature, precipitation, and soil moisture anomalies are strongly increasing. Such a strong amplification in climate variability across Europe further enhances the vulnerability of vegetation cover during extreme events.

摘要

欧洲经历了气候变异性的强烈增加和增强的气候诱发极端事件,如炎热干旱期、特大热浪和持续的洪水和暴洪。土地退化、土地利用和土地覆盖变化的加剧进一步加剧了环境系统功能的压力,并推动了气候变化的反馈。另一方面,全球卫星观测检测到光谱绿化的积极趋势——很可能是对大气中 CO2 浓度升高和全球变暖的反应。但是,是什么推动了地表反射率模式、植被对全球气候变化的反应或环境控制机制的异常的这些变化呢?本文将长期环境变量(1948-2021 年)与最近的植被指数数据(归一化差异植被指数(NDVI),2001-2021 年)进行比较,并展示了欧洲各地气候变异性和植被响应的区域趋势。结果表明,在欧洲大部分地区,植被响应、温度、降雨和土壤湿度的积极趋势伴随着气候异常的强烈增加。植被动态与北部纬度地区冬季和早期生长季节的温度升高和土壤湿度增强密切相关。同时,温度、降水和土壤湿度异常也在强烈增加。欧洲各地气候变异性的这种强烈放大进一步加剧了植被覆盖在极端事件中的脆弱性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4fe4/9810573/c8572095f346/10661_2022_10853_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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