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新的第二居所对临时和永久积雪的重要性。

Importance of temporary and permanent snow for new second homes.

机构信息

University of South-Eastern Norway, Bø, Norway.

Södertörn University, Huddinge, Sweden.

出版信息

Int J Biometeorol. 2024 Mar;68(3):581-593. doi: 10.1007/s00484-022-02420-0. Epub 2023 Jan 6.

Abstract

This study investigates empirically how natural snow depth and permanent snow affect the number of new second homes in Norway. One out of four Norwegian municipalities is partly covered by glaciers and permanent snow. In the winter seasons of 1983-2020, there is a decline in snow depth from 50 to 35 cm on average (based on 41 popular second-home areas in the mountains). Results of the fixed effects Poisson estimator with spatial elements show that there is a significant and positive relationship between natural snow depth in the municipality and the number of second homes started. There is also a significant and negative relationship between the number of new second homes in the municipality and a scarcity of snow in the surrounding municipalities. However, the magnitude of both effects is small. Estimates also show a strong positive relationship between the proportion of surface covered by permanent snow or glaciers in the municipality and new second homes. This implies that a decline in permanent snow and glaciers may make these areas less attractive for the location of second homes.

摘要

本研究从经验上调查了天然雪深和永久积雪如何影响挪威新的第二居所的数量。挪威四分之一的城市部分被冰川和永久积雪覆盖。在 1983 年至 2020 年的冬季,雪深平均下降了 50 厘米至 35 厘米(基于山区 41 个受欢迎的第二居所地区)。具有空间要素的固定效应泊松估计量的结果表明,市的天然雪深与开始的第二居所数量之间存在显著的正相关关系。市的新第二居所数量与周围市的积雪短缺之间也存在显著的负相关关系。然而,这两个影响的幅度都很小。估计还表明,市的永久积雪或冰川覆盖的表面比例与新的第二居所之间存在强烈的正相关关系。这意味着永久积雪和冰川的减少可能会使这些地区对第二居所的选址吸引力降低。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d61b/10864424/35390adc373b/484_2022_2420_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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