School of Economics, Ocean University of China, Qingdao 266100, China.
Institute of Marine Development, Ocean University of China, Qingdao 266100, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2023 Jan 11;20(2):1343. doi: 10.3390/ijerph20021343.
Government intervention and structural transformation play an important role in both the economy and carbon emissions. Based on provincial panel data from China from 2003 to 2020, this paper employs econometric models to investigate the impact of government intervention and structural transformation on carbon emissions. In particular, structural transformation is divided into two indicators: The rationalization of the industrial structure and the upgrading of the industrial structure. According to the research findings, government intervention has significantly promoted carbon emissions and structural transformation has had dual effects on carbon emissions; meanwhile, the rationalization of the industrial structure has significantly increased carbon emissions, while the upgrading of the industrial structure has slowed down carbon emissions, with these findings passing the corresponding robustness test. The relationship between government intervention, structural transformation, and carbon emissions varies significantly over time and across regions. Further investigations revealed that government intervention and structural transformation have a significant impact on carbon emissions in various panel quantiles. Finally, the paper makes policy recommendations in order to provide empirical support for promoting China's high-quality economic development and achieving the "double carbon" goal.
政府干预和结构转型在经济和碳排放方面都发挥着重要作用。本文基于中国 2003 年至 2020 年的省级面板数据，运用计量经济学模型研究了政府干预和结构转型对碳排放的影响。具体而言，结构转型分为两个指标：产业结构合理化和产业结构升级。研究结果表明，政府干预显著促进了碳排放，而结构转型对碳排放具有双重影响；同时，产业结构合理化显著增加了碳排放，而产业结构升级则减缓了碳排放，这些结果通过了相应的稳健性检验。政府干预、结构转型和碳排放之间的关系在时间和地区上存在显著差异。进一步的研究表明，政府干预和结构转型对各面板分位数的碳排放有显著影响。最后，本文提出了政策建议，为促进中国经济高质量发展和实现“双碳”目标提供了经验支持。
