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评估印度尼西亚邦加勿里洞北部沿海小型渔业对气候变化的认知和适应反应。

Assessing Perceptions and Adaptation Responses to Climate Change among Small-Scale Fishery on the Northern Coastal of Bengkulu, Indonesia.

机构信息

Department of Agricultural Socio-Economics, University of Bengkulu, Jl. WR. Supratman, Kandang Limun, Bengkulu 38371, Indonesia.

Postdoctoral at Research Center for Sustainable Production System and Life Cycle Assessment, National Research and Innovation Agency, PUSPIPTEK Area, Serpong 15314, Indonesia.

出版信息

ScientificWorldJournal. 2023 Jan 17;2023:8770267. doi: 10.1155/2023/8770267. eCollection 2023.

DOI:10.1155/2023/8770267
PMID:36704448
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9873426/
Abstract

Small-scale fisheries are facing significant challenges from climate change. Fishers feel the impact of climate change, which forces them to adapt. We, therefore, analyzed local climatic changes, fishers' perceptions regarding climate change and its impacts, adaptation responses, and determinants. Three decades of meteorological data were analyzed (1985-2020). A total of 300 fishermen were selected using quota sampling and interviewed using a structured questionnaire. Data were analyzed using the descriptive and binary logit regression models to explain the determinants of adaptation responses. The findings indicate that fishers' perceptions of climatic changes align with historical climatic data. Typologies of adaptation responses used in the study showed that time fishing adjustment was the most widely used adaptation option by fishermen. For this reason, fishermen are very active in looking for information about climate change to help them find the right time to go to sea and reduce the risk of climate change. Analysis using the binary logit regression model showed that fishing income, boat power, and climate change perceptions were the significant ( < 0.1) factors significantly influencing adaptation responses. Therefore, to strengthen the adaptation responses in small-scale fisheries, fishers' perceptions should be considered.

摘要

小规模渔业正面临气候变化带来的巨大挑战。渔民感受到了气候变化的影响,迫使他们做出适应。因此,我们分析了当地的气候变化、渔民对气候变化及其影响的看法、适应措施以及决定因素。分析了 30 年的气象数据(1985-2020 年)。采用配额抽样选择了 300 名渔民,并使用结构化问卷对其进行了访谈。使用描述性和二元逻辑回归模型分析数据,以解释适应措施的决定因素。研究结果表明,渔民对气候变化的看法与历史气候数据相符。研究中使用的适应措施类型表明,调整捕鱼时间是渔民最广泛使用的适应选择。出于这个原因,渔民非常积极地寻找有关气候变化的信息,以帮助他们找到出海的合适时间,降低气候变化的风险。二元逻辑回归模型的分析表明,渔业收入、船只功率和对气候变化的看法是显著(<0.1)影响适应措施的因素。因此,为了加强小规模渔业的适应措施,应该考虑渔民的看法。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e99e/9873426/94bbc2e84e17/TSWJ2023-8770267.006.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e99e/9873426/2b87059375fd/TSWJ2023-8770267.001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e99e/9873426/62dc8e94e363/TSWJ2023-8770267.002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e99e/9873426/afa2bfa2462c/TSWJ2023-8770267.003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e99e/9873426/6891326b3da7/TSWJ2023-8770267.004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e99e/9873426/e323d1b6f6d6/TSWJ2023-8770267.005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e99e/9873426/94bbc2e84e17/TSWJ2023-8770267.006.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e99e/9873426/2b87059375fd/TSWJ2023-8770267.001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e99e/9873426/62dc8e94e363/TSWJ2023-8770267.002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e99e/9873426/afa2bfa2462c/TSWJ2023-8770267.003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e99e/9873426/6891326b3da7/TSWJ2023-8770267.004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e99e/9873426/e323d1b6f6d6/TSWJ2023-8770267.005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e99e/9873426/94bbc2e84e17/TSWJ2023-8770267.006.jpg

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