Rathje Steve, He James K, Roozenbeek Jon, Van Bavel Jay J, van der Linden Sander
Department of Psychology & Center for Neural Science, New York University, New York, NY 10003,USA.
Department of Psychology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 3RQ,UK.
PNAS Nexus. 2022 Sep 30;1(4):pgac207. doi: 10.1093/pnasnexus/pgac207. eCollection 2022 Sep.
Understanding how vaccine hesitancy relates to online behavior is crucial for addressing current and future disease outbreaks. We combined survey data measuring attitudes toward the COVID-19 vaccine with Twitter data in two studies ( = 464 Twitter users, = 1,600 Twitter users) with preregistered hypotheses to examine how real-world social media behavior is associated with vaccine hesitancy in the United States (US) and the United Kingdom (UK). In Study 1, we found that following the accounts of US Republican politicians or hyper-partisan/low-quality news sites were associated with lower confidence in the COVID-19 vaccine-even when controlling for key demographics such as self-reported political ideology and education. US right-wing influencers (e.g. Candace Owens, Tucker Carlson) had followers with the lowest confidence in the vaccine. Network analysis revealed that participants who were low and high in vaccine confidence separated into two distinct communities (or "echo chambers"), and centrality in the more right-wing community was associated with vaccine hesitancy in the US, but not in the UK. In Study 2, we found that one's likelihood of not getting the vaccine was associated with retweeting and favoriting low-quality news websites on Twitter. Altogether, we show that vaccine hesitancy is associated with following, sharing, and interacting with low-quality information online, as well as centrality within a conservative-leaning online community in the US. These results illustrate the potential challenges of encouraging vaccine uptake in a polarized social media environment.
了解疫苗犹豫与网络行为之间的关系对于应对当前和未来的疾病爆发至关重要。在两项研究中(研究一:464名推特用户;研究二:1600名推特用户),我们将衡量对新冠疫苗态度的调查数据与推特数据相结合,并采用预先注册的假设,以研究现实世界中的社交媒体行为与美国和英国的疫苗犹豫之间的关联。在研究一中,我们发现关注美国共和党政治家的账号或极端党派/低质量新闻网站与对新冠疫苗的信心较低有关——即使在控制了诸如自我报告的政治意识形态和教育程度等关键人口统计因素之后。美国右翼有影响力的人(如坎迪斯·欧文斯、塔克·卡尔森)的粉丝对疫苗的信心最低。网络分析显示,疫苗信心低和高的参与者分成了两个不同的群体(或“回音室”),在美国,更右翼群体中的中心地位与疫苗犹豫有关,但在英国并非如此。在研究二中,我们发现一个人不接种疫苗的可能性与在推特上转发和点赞低质量新闻网站有关。总体而言,我们表明疫苗犹豫与在网上关注、分享和与低质量信息互动有关,也与美国倾向保守的在线社区中的中心地位有关。这些结果说明了在两极分化的社交媒体环境中鼓励疫苗接种的潜在挑战。