van den Hurk Bart J J M, White Christopher J, Ramos Alexandre M, Ward Philip J, Martius Olivia, Olbert Indiana, Roscoe Kathryn, Goulart Henrique M D, Zscheischler Jakob
Deltares, Delft, the Netherlands.
Institute for Environmental Studies, VU University Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
iScience. 2023 Jan 25;26(3):106030. doi: 10.1016/j.isci.2023.106030. eCollection 2023 Mar 17.
Consideration of compound drivers and impacts are often missing from applications within the Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) cycle, leading to poorer understanding of risk and benefits of actions. The need to include compound considerations is known, but lack of guidance is prohibiting practitioners from including these considerations. This article makes a step toward practitioner guidance by providing examples where consideration of compound drivers, hazards, and impacts may affect different application domains within disaster risk management. We discern five DRR categories and provide illustrative examples of studies that highlight the role of "compound thinking" in early warning, emergency response, infrastructure management, long-term planning, and capacity building. We conclude with a number of common elements that may contribute to the development of practical guidelines to develop appropriate applications for risk management.
在减少灾害风险(DRR)周期内的应用中,往往缺少对复合驱动因素和影响的考量,从而导致对行动的风险和益处的理解不足。虽然大家都知道需要纳入复合考量,但缺乏相关指导使得从业者无法进行这些考量。本文通过提供一些示例,朝着为从业者提供指导迈进了一步,这些示例表明复合驱动因素、灾害及影响的考量可能会对灾害风险管理中的不同应用领域产生影响。我们识别出五个减少灾害风险类别,并提供了一些研究的示例,这些示例突出了“复合思维”在早期预警、应急响应、基础设施管理、长期规划和能力建设中的作用。我们最后总结了一些共同要素,这些要素可能有助于制定实用指南,以开发适用于风险管理的应用。