Fatmi Mahmudur Rahman, Thirkell Corrie, Hossain Md Shahadat
Assistant Professor, University of British Columbia, Department of Civil Engineering, Okanagan Campus, EME 3231, 3333 University Way, Kelowna, BC, V1V 1V7, Canada.
Undergraduate student, University of British Columbia, Department of Civil Engineering, EME 2219, 1137 Alumni Avenue, Kelowna, BC, V1V 1V7, Canada.
Transp Res Interdiscip Perspect. 2021 Jun;10:100350. doi: 10.1016/j.trip.2021.100350. Epub 2021 Mar 18.
COVID-19 has made unprecedented impacts on our daily life. This paper investigates individuals' immediate response to COVID-19, exploring out-of-home activities, in-home activities, and long-distance travel. Data for the Kelowna region of Canada comes from a web-based COVID-19 Survey for assessing Travel impact (COST). In addition to analyzing the survey, this research models adjustments in travel decisions by developing ordered logit models for in-home and out-of-home activities, and a binomial logit model for long-distance travel. Data analysis suggests a reduction of about 50% out-of-home activities/day/person during COVID-19 compared to the pre-pandemic period, with the only exception being picking up online orders which significantly increased in frequency. Individuals were engaged in longer duration of in-home activities; the average duration of teleworking, online shopping for groceries and other goods at-home was around 5.5 h/day/person, 32 min/day/person, and 26 min/day/person respectively. The out-of-home activity model results suggest that higher income, younger and middle aged individuals, and full-time workers are more likely to decrease their out-of-home activity; whereas, males, lower income groups, health care professionals, and picking up online orders are more likely to increase. The in-home activity model suggests that older and younger adults, higher and lower income, full-time workers, and highly educated individuals are most likely to increase their in-home activity frequency; in contrast, health care professionals are likely to decrease. Long-distance travel model results reveal that seniors, students, and airline travelers are more likely to reschedule; whereas, trips to visit friends and family are more likely to be cancelled.
新冠疫情对我们的日常生活产生了前所未有的影响。本文调查了个人对新冠疫情的即时反应，探讨了户外出行活动、居家活动和长途旅行情况。加拿大基洛纳地区的数据来自一项基于网络的新冠疫情出行影响评估调查（COST）。除了分析该调查外，本研究还通过为居家和户外出行活动建立有序逻辑模型以及为长途旅行建立二项逻辑模型，来模拟出行决策的调整。数据分析表明，与疫情前相比，新冠疫情期间人均每日户外出行活动减少了约50%，唯一的例外是取在线订单，其频率显著增加。人们居家活动的时间更长；远程办公、在家网购食品杂货及其他商品的平均时长分别约为每人每天5.5小时、32分钟和26分钟。户外出行活动模型结果表明，高收入、中青年以及全职工作者更有可能减少户外出行活动；而男性、低收入群体、医护人员以及取在线订单的人更有可能增加户外出行活动。居家活动模型表明，老年人和年轻人、高收入和低收入群体、全职工作者以及高学历者最有可能增加居家活动频率；相比之下，医护人员则可能减少。长途旅行模型结果显示，老年人、学生和航空旅客更有可能重新安排行程；而访友和探亲之旅更有可能被取消。
