Leicester Real World Evidence Unit, Leicester Diabetes Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, England.
Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, England.
BMC Public Health. 2023 Feb 27;23(1):399. doi: 10.1186/s12889-023-15223-8.
BACKGROUND: Heterogeneous studies have demonstrated ethnic inequalities in the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection and adverse COVID-19 outcomes. This study evaluates the association between ethnicity and COVID-19 outcomes in two large population-based cohorts from England and Canada and investigates potential explanatory factors for ethnic patterning of severe outcomes. METHODS: We identified adults aged 18 to 99 years in the QResearch primary care (England) and Ontario (Canada) healthcare administrative population-based datasets (start of follow-up: 24th and 25th Jan 2020 in England and Canada, respectively; end of follow-up: 31st Oct and 30th Sept 2020, respectively). We harmonised the definitions and the design of two cohorts to investigate associations between ethnicity and COVID-19-related death, hospitalisation, and intensive care (ICU) admission, adjusted for confounders, and combined the estimates obtained from survival analyses. We calculated the 'percentage of excess risk mediated' by these risk factors in the QResearch cohort. RESULTS: There were 9.83 million adults in the QResearch cohort (11,597 deaths; 21,917 hospitalisations; 2932 ICU admissions) and 10.27 million adults in the Ontario cohort (951 deaths; 5132 hospitalisations; 1191 ICU admissions). Compared to the general population, pooled random-effects estimates showed that South Asian ethnicity was associated with an increased risk of COVID-19 death (hazard ratio: 1.63, 95% CI: 1.09-2.44), hospitalisation (1.53; 1.32-1.76), and ICU admission (1.67; 1.23-2.28). Associations with ethnic groups were consistent across levels of deprivation. In QResearch, sociodemographic, lifestyle, and clinical factors accounted for 42.9% (South Asian) and 39.4% (Black) of the excess risk of COVID-19 death. CONCLUSION: International population-level analyses demonstrate clear ethnic inequalities in COVID-19 risks. Policymakers should be cognisant of the increased risks in some ethnic populations and design equitable health policy as the pandemic continues.
背景:多项异质性研究表明,SARS-CoV-2 感染风险和 COVID-19 不良结局存在种族差异。本研究评估了两个来自英国和加拿大的大型基于人群队列中种族与 COVID-19 结局之间的关联,并探讨了严重结局种族分布的潜在解释因素。
方法:我们在 QResearch 初级保健(英国)和安大略省(加拿大)医疗保健行政人群数据集(随访开始时间:英国分别为 2020 年 1 月 24 日和 25 日,加拿大分别为 2020 年 1 月 24 日和 25 日;随访结束时间:英国分别为 2020 年 10 月 31 日和 9 月 30 日,加拿大分别为 2020 年 9 月 30 日和 10 月 31 日)中确定了 18 至 99 岁的成年人。我们对两个队列的定义和设计进行了协调,以调查种族与 COVID-19 相关死亡、住院和重症监护(ICU)入院之间的关联,调整了混杂因素,并对来自生存分析的估计值进行了合并。我们计算了 QResearch 队列中这些危险因素介导的“超额风险百分比”。
结果:QResearch 队列中有 983 万成年人(11597 例死亡;21917 例住院;2932 例 ICU 入院),安大略队列中有 1027 万成年人(951 例死亡;5132 例住院;1191 例 ICU 入院)。与普通人群相比,合并的随机效应估计显示,南亚裔族群与 COVID-19 死亡风险增加相关(风险比:1.63,95%CI:1.09-2.44)、住院风险(1.53;1.32-1.76)和 ICU 入院(1.67;1.23-2.28)。与不同族群的关联在不同贫困程度之间是一致的。在 QResearch 中,社会人口统计学、生活方式和临床因素解释了南亚裔族群 COVID-19 死亡风险的 42.9%(39.4%)和黑人族群的 39.4%(39.4%)。
结论:国际人群水平分析表明,COVID-19 风险存在明显的种族差异。随着大流行的继续,政策制定者应意识到某些族裔群体的风险增加,并制定公平的卫生政策。
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