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应用修正后的泊松模型识别乌干达 15-49 岁妇女终止妊娠流行率的相关因素。

Application of a modified Poisson model in identifying factors associated with prevalence of pregnancy termination among women aged 15 - 49 years in Uganda.

机构信息

Muni University, P.O.Box 725, Arua District, Uganda.

Makerere University School of Public Health, P.O Box 7062, Kampala-Uganda.

出版信息

Afr Health Sci. 2022 Sep;22(3):100-107. doi: 10.4314/ahs.v22i3.12.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Abortion in Uganda is illegal, only permitted when it places the pregnant mother at risk. This study aimed to apply the modified Poisson model in identifying factors associated with the prevalence of pregnancy termination among women of reproductive age in Uganda.

METHODS

The 2016 Uganda Demographic Health Survey (UDHS) data were used in this study. More than 18,000 women of the age of 15 - 49 years participated in this study. A modified Poisson model that incorporated sampling weights was used to establish the factors associated with pregnancy termination.

RESULTS

In Uganda, 18,506 (18.1%) had ever had a pregnancy terminated. The results revealed that, the woman's age [APR = 3.15, 95% CI: 2.72-3.63], being married [APR = 1.55, 95% CI: 1.40-1.71], mass media exposure [APR = 1.18, 95% CI: 1.08-1.29], working status [APR = 1.21, 95% CI: 1.09-1.35], and having visited a health facility [APR = 1.20, 95% CI: 1.10-1.31] were positively significantly associated with likelihood of pregnancy termination.

CONCLUSION

There exists a significant proportion of women who have had their pregnancies terminated in Uganda. It is observed that woman's age, marital status, mass media exposure, having visited a health facility in the last 12 months and working status were main predictors. Based on these results, researchers concluded that the emphasis should be put on improving access to post-abortion care, contraceptive use and media exposure.

摘要

背景

在乌干达,堕胎是非法的,只有在危及孕妇生命的情况下才允许堕胎。本研究旨在应用修正后的泊松模型,确定与乌干达育龄妇女终止妊娠率相关的因素。

方法

本研究使用了 2016 年乌干达人口与健康调查(UDHS)的数据。超过 18000 名年龄在 15-49 岁的妇女参加了这项研究。采用包含抽样权重的修正泊松模型来确定与终止妊娠相关的因素。

结果

在乌干达,18506 名(18.1%)妇女曾有过终止妊娠的经历。结果表明,妇女的年龄[调整后比值比(APR)=3.15,95%置信区间:2.72-3.63]、已婚[APR=1.55,95%置信区间:1.40-1.71]、大众媒体接触[APR=1.18,95%置信区间:1.08-1.29]、工作状况[APR=1.21,95%置信区间:1.09-1.35]和在过去 12 个月内曾去过卫生机构[APR=1.20,95%置信区间:1.10-1.31]与终止妊娠的可能性呈正相关。

结论

在乌干达,有相当比例的妇女曾终止妊娠。研究发现,妇女的年龄、婚姻状况、大众媒体接触、在过去 12 个月内曾去过卫生机构以及工作状况是主要的预测因素。基于这些结果,研究人员得出结论,应重视改善堕胎后护理、避孕措施和媒体接触的可及性。

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