Dou Dandan, Li Fengting, Li Liying
School of Management Henan University of Technology Zhengzhou China.
Henan University of Engineering Zhengzhou China.
Food Sci Nutr. 2022 Dec 19;11(3):1507-1520. doi: 10.1002/fsn3.3190. eCollection 2023 Mar.
Faced with the pressure of slowing industrial growth and industrial transformation requirements, it is crucial to analyze the changes and the corresponding driving factors of the food processing industry in China. An analysis using traditional and spatial shift-share models was conducted to decompose the changes in the food processing industry in each region of China from 2009 to 2019 into five effects: national growth effect (NG), industrial mix effect (IM), competitive effect (CE), neighbor-nation competitive effect (NNC), and region-neighbor competitive effect (RNC). Among the five effects from 2009 to 2019, the NG contributed the most to the growth in most regions, indicating that the development of the food processing industry in China was greatly influenced by the industrial base and that China's food processing industry has entered a "growth bottleneck period." During the period 2009-2014 to period 2014-2019, compared to the IM and CE, the influence of spatial spillover effects was stronger and significantly enhanced. Moreover, the IM, CE, NNC, and RNC in most southern regions were stronger than those in most northern regions. Therefore, China's food processing industry needs and is transforming into high-quality development. It is necessary to innovate the mode of development of food processing industry and strengthen interregional exchanges and cooperation.
面对工业增长放缓的压力和产业转型需求，分析中国食品加工业的变化及相应驱动因素至关重要。运用传统和空间转移份额模型进行分析，将2009年至2019年中国各地区食品加工业的变化分解为五种效应：全国增长效应（NG）、产业结构效应（IM）、竞争效应（CE）、邻省竞争效应（NNC）和地区邻省竞争效应（RNC）。在2009年至2019年的五种效应中，NG在大多数地区对增长的贡献最大，这表明中国食品加工业的发展受产业基础影响较大，且中国食品加工业已进入“增长瓶颈期”。在2009 - 2014年至2014 - 2019年期间，与IM和CE相比，空间溢出效应的影响更强且显著增强。此外，大多数南部地区的IM、CE、NNC和RNC比大多数北部地区更强。因此，中国食品加工业需要并正在向高质量发展转型。有必要创新食品加工业的发展模式，加强区域间交流与合作。
