Improving healthcare systems and services in the face of population ageing: policy considerations for low- and middle-income countries.

Worldwide, the proportion and absolute numbers of over 60-year-olds in the population is rising: it was 1 billion in 2019 and is expected to get to 1.4 billion in 2030 and 2.1 billion by 2050, with the progression being more pronounced in developing countries. Degenerative and non-communicable diseases are more common with ageing, which means they would become the major disease problems for countries. Long-term care poses financial risks to individuals/families and governments. These warrant urgent policy and structural adjustments of health systems in low- and middle-income countries to cater for the probable change in health needs and make their society more age-sensitive. There is the need for policymakers to begin to change focus from traditional models of healthcare delivery and give more attention to aged care and create separate financing mechanisms/programmes for the elderly, most of whom are already unemployed, to protect them from the effects of cream-skimming by private health insurers. Informed decisions on healthcare purchasing can be made using Economic Evaluation, as well as Programme Budgeting and Marginal Analysis, a presentation of discrete categories of healthcare expenditure (specialties, disease-groups, etc.) and the resources appropriated to each as an aid to reviewing subsequent resource allocation. Reforms in healthcare financing should pay particular attention to the elderly considering that technical efficiency concerns of the private sector may mean that they are discriminated against. There is need for retraining/reorientation of health workers on identification and comprehensive management of NCDs, including palliative care, in a culturally competent way, on the essence of shifting from an acute care model to a chronic care model, and on providing services to people within defined catchment areas.