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乌干达虫媒病毒的传播、流行病学及时空分布

Arbovirus circulation, epidemiology and spatiotemporal distribution in Uganda.

作者信息

Byaruhanga Timothy, Kayiwa John T, Nankya Annet M, Ataliba Irene J, McClure C Patrick, Ball Jonathan K, Lutwama Julius J

机构信息

University of Nottingham School of Life Sciences, Wolfson Centre for Global Virus Research, Nottingham, UK.

Uganda Virus Research Institute, Department of Arbovirology, Emerging and Re-emerging infectious diseases.

出版信息

IJID Reg. 2023 Feb 3;6:171-176. doi: 10.1016/j.ijregi.2023.01.013. eCollection 2023 Mar.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Arboviruses are endemic in Uganda; however, little is known about their epidemiology, seasonality and spatiotemporal distribution. Our study sought to provide information on arbovirus outbreaks from acute clinical presentations.

METHODS

Immunoglobulin M (IgM) and confirmatory Plaque Reduction Neutralisation Test (PRNT) results for arbovirus diagnosis of samples collected from patients attending sentinel sites from 2016-19 were analysed retrospectively. Demographic data were analysed with SaTScan and SPSS software to determine the epidemiology and spatiotemporal distribution of arboviruses.

RESULTS

Arbovirus activity peaked consistently during March-May rainy seasons. Overall, arbovirus seroprevalence was 9.5%. Of 137 IgM positives, 52.6% were confirmed by PRNT, of which 73.6% cases were observed in central Uganda with Yellow Fever Virus had the highest prevalence (27.8%). The 5-14 age group were four times more likely to be infected with an arbovirus p=0.003, 4.1 (95% CI 1.3-12.3). Significant arboviral activity was observed among outdoor workers(p=0.05) . Spatiotemporal analysis indicated arboviral activity in 23 of the 85 districts analysed..

INTERPRETATION

Our study shows that arbovirus activity peaks during the March-May rainy season and highlights the need for YFV mass vaccination to reduce the clinical burden of arboviruses transmitted within the region.

摘要

背景

虫媒病毒在乌干达呈地方流行性;然而,对其流行病学、季节性和时空分布知之甚少。我们的研究旨在提供有关急性临床表现中虫媒病毒暴发的信息。

方法

回顾性分析2016 - 19年从哨点采集的患者样本进行虫媒病毒诊断的免疫球蛋白M(IgM)和确证性空斑减少中和试验(PRNT)结果。使用SaTScan和SPSS软件分析人口统计学数据,以确定虫媒病毒的流行病学和时空分布。

结果

虫媒病毒活动在3 - 5月雨季期间持续达到峰值。总体而言,虫媒病毒血清阳性率为9.5%。在137例IgM阳性病例中,52.6%通过PRNT得到确证,其中73.6%的病例在乌干达中部观察到,黄热病病毒的患病率最高(27.8%)。5 - 14岁年龄组感染虫媒病毒的可能性是其他组的四倍(p = 0.003,4.1(95%可信区间1.3 - 12.3))。在户外工作者中观察到显著的虫媒病毒活动(p = 0.05)。时空分析表明,在分析的85个地区中有23个存在虫媒病毒活动。

解读

我们的研究表明,虫媒病毒活动在3 - 5月雨季达到峰值,并强调需要进行黄热病病毒大规模疫苗接种,以减轻该地区传播的虫媒病毒的临床负担。

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