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基于胸部 X 光图像和临床元数据的 COVID-19 严重程度自动预测,旨在提高准确性和可解释性。

Automated prediction of COVID-19 severity upon admission by chest X-ray images and clinical metadata aiming at accuracy and explainability.

机构信息

Department of Physics of Complex Systems, ELTE Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, 1117, Hungary.

ELTE Eötvös Loránd University, Doctoral School of Informatics, Budapest, 1117, Hungary.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2023 Mar 14;13(1):4226. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-30505-2.

Abstract

In the past few years COVID-19 posed a huge threat to healthcare systems around the world. One of the first waves of the pandemic hit Northern Italy severely resulting in high casualties and in the near breakdown of primary care. Due to these facts, the Covid CXR Hackathon-Artificial Intelligence for Covid-19 prognosis: aiming at accuracy and explainability challenge had been launched at the beginning of February 2022, releasing a new imaging dataset with additional clinical metadata for each accompanying chest X-ray (CXR). In this article we summarize our techniques at correctly diagnosing chest X-ray images collected upon admission for severity of COVID-19 outcome. In addition to X-ray imagery, clinical metadata was provided and the challenge also aimed at creating an explainable model. We created a best-performing, as well as, an explainable model that makes an effort to map clinical metadata to image features whilst predicting the prognosis. We also did many ablation studies in order to identify crucial parts of the models and the predictive power of each feature in the datasets. We conclude that CXRs at admission do not help the predicting power of the metadata significantly by itself and contain mostly information that is also mutually present in the blood samples and other clinical factors collected at admission.

摘要

在过去的几年中,COVID-19 对全球医疗体系构成了巨大威胁。大流行的第一波浪潮严重袭击了意大利北部,导致高死亡率和初级保健系统几乎崩溃。由于这些事实,Covid CXR Hackathon-用于 COVID-19 预后的人工智能:旨在提高准确性和可解释性的挑战于 2022 年 2 月初启动,发布了一个带有每个伴随胸部 X 光 (CXR) 的附加临床元数据的新成像数据集。在本文中,我们总结了我们在正确诊断入院时采集的用于 COVID-19 结果严重程度的胸部 X 光图像的技术。除了 X 射线图像外,还提供了临床元数据,该挑战还旨在创建一个可解释的模型。我们创建了一个表现最佳的可解释模型,努力在预测预后的同时将临床元数据映射到图像特征上。我们还进行了许多消融研究,以确定模型的关键部分以及数据集中每个特征的预测能力。我们的结论是,入院时的 CXR 本身并不能显著提高元数据的预测能力,并且包含的信息主要也存在于入院时采集的血液样本和其他临床因素中。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f810/10014901/d07abb8de5c4/41598_2023_30505_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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