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基于机器学习的供应链金融风险防范研究。

Research on Supply Chain Financial Risk Prevention Based on Machine Learning.

机构信息

Shenyang University of Technology, School of Management, Shenyang 110000, China.

出版信息

Comput Intell Neurosci. 2023 Mar 6;2023:6531154. doi: 10.1155/2023/6531154. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

Artificial intelligence (AI) proves decisive in today's rapidly developing society and is a motive force for the evolution of financial technology. As a subdivision of artificial intelligence research, machine learning (ML) algorithm is extensively used in all aspects of the daily operation and development of the supply chain. Using data mining, deductive reasoning, and other characteristics of machine learning algorithms can effectively help decision-makers of enterprises to make more scientific and reasonable decisions by using the existing financial index data. At present, globalization uncertainties such as COVID-19 are intensifying, and supply chain enterprises are facing bankruptcy risk. In the operation process, practical tools are needed to identify and opportunely respond to the threat in the supply chain operation promptly, predict the probability of business failure of enterprises, and take scientific and feasible measures to prevent a financial crisis in good season. Artificial intelligence decision-making technology can help traditional supply chains to transform into intelligent supply chains, realize smart management, and promote supply chain transformation and upgrading. By applying machine learning algorithms, the supply chain can not only identify potential risks in time and adopt scientific and feasible measures to deal with the crisis but also strengthen the connection and cooperation between different enterprises with the advantage of advanced technology to provide overall operation efficiency. On account of this, the paper puts forward an artificial intelligence-based corporate financial-risk-prevention (FRP) model, which includes four stages: data preprocessing, feature selection, feature classification, and parameter adjustment. Firstly, relevant financial index data are collected, and the quality of the selected data is raised through preprocessing; secondly, the chaotic grasshopper optimization algorithm (CGOA) is used to simulate the behavior of grasshoppers in nature to build a mathematical model, and the selected data sets are selected and optimized for features. Then, the support vector machine (SVM) performs classification processing on the quantitative data with reduced features. Empirical risk is calculated using the hinge loss function, and a regular operation is added to optimize the risk structure. Finally, slime mould algorithm (SMA) can optimize the process to improve the efficiency of SVM, making the algorithm more accurate and effective. In this study, Python is used to simulate the function of the corporate business finance risk prevention model. The experimental results show that the CGOA-SVM-SMA algorithm proposed in this paper achieves good results. After calculation, it is found that the prediction and decision-making capabilities are good and better than other comparative models, which can effectively help supply chain enterprises to prevent financial risks.

摘要

人工智能(AI)在当今快速发展的社会中起着决定性作用,是金融科技发展的动力。作为人工智能研究的一个分支,机器学习(ML)算法广泛应用于供应链日常运作和发展的各个方面。利用机器学习算法的数据挖掘、演绎推理等特点,可以利用现有财务指标数据,帮助企业决策者做出更加科学合理的决策。目前,新冠肺炎等全球化不确定性因素正在加剧,供应链企业面临破产风险。在运作过程中,需要实用工具来及时识别和应对供应链运作中的威胁,预测企业经营失败的概率,并采取科学可行的措施,在旺季预防金融危机。人工智能决策技术可以帮助传统供应链向智能供应链转变,实现智能化管理,促进供应链转型和升级。通过应用机器学习算法,供应链不仅可以及时识别潜在风险,并采取科学可行的措施应对危机,还可以利用先进技术的优势加强不同企业之间的联系与合作,提高整体运作效率。基于此,本文提出了一种基于人工智能的企业财务风险防范(FRP)模型,该模型包括数据预处理、特征选择、特征分类和参数调整四个阶段。首先,收集相关财务指标数据,并通过预处理提高所选数据的质量;其次,利用混沌草蜢优化算法(CGOA)模拟自然界中草蜢的行为,建立数学模型,对所选数据集进行特征选择和优化。然后,支持向量机(SVM)对降维特征的定量数据进行分类处理。利用 hinge 损失函数计算经验风险,并添加正则化操作来优化风险结构。最后,粘菌算法(SMA)可以优化过程,提高 SVM 的效率,使算法更加准确有效。本文采用 Python 模拟企业商业金融风险防范模型的功能。实验结果表明,本文提出的 CGOA-SVM-SMA 算法效果良好。经计算,发现预测和决策能力良好,优于其他对比模型,可以有效帮助供应链企业防范财务风险。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cc05/10010881/ce252ceab444/CIN2023-6531154.001.jpg

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