Department of Agricultural and Biological Engineering, The Pennsylvania State University, United States of America.
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, The Pennsylvania State University, United States of America.
Sci Total Environ. 2023 Jun 20;878:162930. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162930. Epub 2023 Mar 18.
High-frequency stream nitrate concentration provides critical insights into nutrient dynamics and can help to improve the effectiveness of management decisions to maintain a sustainable ecosystem. However, nitrate monitoring is conventionally conducted through lab analysis using in situ water samples and is typically at coarse temporal resolution. In the last decade, many agencies started collecting high-frequency (5-60 min intervals) nitrate data using optical sensors. The hypothesis of the study is that the data-driven models can learn the trend and temporal variability in nitrate concentration from high-frequency sensor-based nitrate data in the region and generate continuous nitrate data for unavailable data periods and data-limited locations. A Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model-based framework was developed to estimate continuous daily stream nitrate for dozens of gauge locations in Iowa, USA. The promising results supported the hypothesis; the LSTM model demonstrated median test-period Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) = 0.75 and RMSE = 1.53 mg/L for estimating continuous daily nitrate concentration in 42 sites, which are unprecedented performance levels. Twenty-one sites (50 % of all sites) and thirty-four sites (76 % of all sites) demonstrated NSE > 0.75 and 0.50, respectively. The average nitrate concentration of neighboring sites was identified as a crucial determinant of continuous daily nitrate concentration. Seasonal model performance evaluation showed that the model performed effectively in the summer and fall seasons. About 26 sites showed correlations >0.60 between estimated nitrate concentration and discharge. The concentration-discharge (c-Q) relationship analysis showed that the study watersheds had four dominant nitrate transport patterns from landscapes to streams with increasing discharge, including the flushing pattern being the most dominant one. Stream nitrate estimation impedes due to data inadequacy. The modeling framework can be used to generate temporally continuous nitrate at nitrate data-limited regions with a nearby sensor-based nitrate gauge. Watershed planners and policymakers could utilize the continuous nitrate data to gain more information on the regional nitrate status and design conservation practices accordingly.
高频溪流硝酸盐浓度为了解养分动态提供了关键信息,并有助于提高管理决策的有效性,以维持可持续的生态系统。然而,硝酸盐监测传统上是通过现场水样的实验室分析进行的,通常时间分辨率较粗。在过去十年中,许多机构开始使用光学传感器收集高频(5-60 分钟间隔)硝酸盐数据。该研究的假设是,数据驱动模型可以从该地区基于高频传感器的硝酸盐数据中学习硝酸盐浓度的趋势和时间变化,并为不可用数据期和数据有限的地点生成连续的硝酸盐数据。开发了一种基于长短期记忆(LSTM)模型的框架,用于估计美国爱荷华州数十个测量点的每日连续溪流硝酸盐。有希望的结果支持了这一假设;LSTM 模型在 42 个地点的测试期内,中值纳什-苏特克里夫效率(NSE)为 0.75,均方根误差(RMSE)为 1.53 毫克/升,用于估计连续每日硝酸盐浓度,这是前所未有的性能水平。21 个地点(所有地点的 50%)和 34 个地点(所有地点的 76%)的 NSE 分别大于 0.75 和 0.50。相邻地点的平均硝酸盐浓度被确定为连续每日硝酸盐浓度的关键决定因素。季节性模型性能评估表明,该模型在夏季和秋季表现出色。约 26 个地点的估计硝酸盐浓度与流量之间的相关性大于 0.60。浓度-流量(c-Q)关系分析表明,研究流域在流量增加的情况下,硝酸盐从景观到溪流的输送有四种主要模式,其中冲洗模式最为主导。由于数据不足,硝酸盐的估算受到阻碍。该建模框架可用于在附近具有基于传感器的硝酸盐测量计的硝酸盐数据有限的区域生成时间连续的硝酸盐。流域规划者和政策制定者可以利用连续的硝酸盐数据来获得更多有关区域硝酸盐状况的信息,并相应地设计保护实践。