Zeraatkar Dena, Cusano Ellen, Martínez Juan Pablo Díaz, Qasim Anila, Mangala Sophia, Kum Elena, Bartoszko Jessica Julia, Devji Tahira, Agoritsas Thomas, Guyatt Gordon, Izcovich Ariel, Khamis Assem M, Lamontagne Francois, Rochwerg Bram, Vandvik Per, Brignardello-Petersen Romina, Siemieniuk Reed Alexander Cunningham
Health Research Methods, Evidence, and Impact, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada.
Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
BMJ Med. 2022 Feb 28;1(1):e000036. doi: 10.1136/bmjmed-2021-000036. eCollection 2022.
To compare the effects of interleukin 6 receptor blockers, tocilizumab and sarilumab, with or without corticosteroids, on mortality in patients with covid-19.
Systematic review and network meta-analysis.
World Health Organization covid-19 database, a comprehensive multilingual source of global covid-19 literature, and two prospective meta-analyses (up to 9 June 2021).
Trials in which people with suspected, probable, or confirmed covid-19 were randomised to interleukin 6 receptor blockers (with or without corticosteroids), corticosteroids, placebo, or standard care. The analysis used a bayesian framework and assessed the certainty of evidence using the GRADE approach. Results from the fixed effect meta-analysis were used for the primary analysis.
Of 45 eligible trials (20 650 patients) identified, 36 (19 350 patients) could be included in the network meta-analysis. Of 36 trials, 27 were at high risk of bias, primarily due to lack of blinding. Tocilizumab, in combination with corticosteroids, suggested a reduction in the risk of death compared with corticosteroids alone (odds ratio 0.79, 95% credible interval 0.70 to 0.88; 35 fewer deaths per 1000 people, 95% credible interval 52 fewer to 18 fewer per 1000; moderate certainty of evidence), as did sarilumab in combination with corticosteroids, compared with corticosteroids alone (0.73, 0.58 to 0.92; 43 fewer per 1000, 73 fewer to 12 fewer; low certainty). Tocilizumab and sarilumab, each in combination with corticosteroids, appeared to have similar effects on mortality when compared with each other (1.07, 0.86 to 1.34; eight more per 1000, 20 fewer to 35 more; low certainty). The effects of tocilizumab (1.12, 0.91 to 1.38; 20 more per 1000, 16 fewer to 59 more; low certainty) and sarilumab (1.07, 0.81 to 1.40; 11 more per 1000, 38 fewer to 55 more; low certainty), when used alone, suggested an increase in the risk of death.
These findings suggest that in patients with severe or critical covid-19, tocilizumab, in combination with corticosteroids, probably reduces mortality, and that sarilumab, in combination with corticosteroids, might also reduce mortality. Tocilizumab and sarilumab, in combination with corticosteroids, could have similar effectiveness. Tocilizumab and sarilumab, when used alone, might not be beneficial.
比较白细胞介素6受体阻滞剂托珠单抗和萨瑞鲁单抗联合或不联合使用糖皮质激素对新型冠状病毒肺炎(COVID-19)患者死亡率的影响。
系统评价和网状Meta分析。
世界卫生组织COVID-19数据库,这是一个全面的多语言全球COVID-19文献来源,以及两项前瞻性Meta分析(截至2021年6月9日)。
将疑似、可能或确诊的COVID-19患者随机分组至白细胞介素6受体阻滞剂(联合或不联合糖皮质激素)、糖皮质激素、安慰剂或标准治疗的试验。分析采用贝叶斯框架,并使用GRADE方法评估证据的确定性。固定效应Meta分析的结果用于主要分析。
在确定的45项符合条件的试验(20650例患者)中,36项(19350例患者)可纳入网状Meta分析。在36项试验中,27项存在高偏倚风险,主要原因是缺乏盲法。与单独使用糖皮质激素相比,托珠单抗联合糖皮质激素提示死亡风险降低(比值比0.79,95%可信区间0.70至0.88;每1000人死亡人数减少35例,95%可信区间为每1000人减少52例至减少18例;证据确定性为中等),萨瑞鲁单抗联合糖皮质激素与单独使用糖皮质激素相比也是如此(0.73,0.58至0.92;每1000人减少43例,73例至12例;证据确定性低)。与彼此相比,托珠单抗和萨瑞鲁单抗分别联合糖皮质激素对死亡率的影响似乎相似(1.07,0.86至1.34;每1000人增加8例,减少20例至增加35例;证据确定性低)。单独使用时,托珠单抗(1.12,0.91至1.38;每1000人增加20例,减少16例至增加59例;证据确定性低)和萨瑞鲁单抗(1.07,0.81至1.40;每1000人增加11例,减少38例至增加55例;证据确定性低)提示死亡风险增加。
这些发现表明,在重症或危重症COVID-19患者中,托珠单抗联合糖皮质激素可能降低死亡率,萨瑞鲁单抗联合糖皮质激素也可能降低死亡率。托珠单抗和萨瑞鲁单抗联合糖皮质激素可能具有相似的疗效。单独使用托珠单抗和萨瑞鲁单抗可能无益。