Department of Public Health and Caring Sciences, Section of Geriatrics, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.
Department of Community Medicine and Rehabilitation, Division of Geriatic Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
J Alzheimers Dis. 2023;93(1):61-74. doi: 10.3233/JAD-220915.
Long-increasing dementia incidence and prevalence trends may be shifting. Whether such shifts have reached the very old is unknown.
To investigate temporal trends in the incidence of dementia and cognitive impairment and prevalence of dementia, cognitive impairment, Alzheimer's disease, vascular dementia, and unclassified dementia among 85-, 90-, and ≥ 95-year-olds in Sweden during 2000-2017.
This study was conducted with Umeå 85 + /Gerontological Regional Database data from 2182 85-, 90-, and ≥ 95-year-olds in Sweden collected in 2000-2017. Using logistic regression, trends in the cumulative 5-year incidences of dementia and cognitive impairment; prevalences of dementia, cognitive impairment, Alzheimer's disease, and vascular dementia; and Mini-Mental State Examination thresholds for dementia diagnosis were estimated.
Dementia and cognitive impairment incidences decreased in younger groups, which generally showed more-positive temporal trends. The prevalences of overall dementia, cognitive impairment, and Alzheimer's disease were stable or increasing; longer disease durations and increasing dementia subtype classification success may mask positive changes in incidences. Vascular dementia increased while unclassified dementia generally decreased.
The cognitive health of the very old may be changing in the 21st century, possibly indicating a trend break.
痴呆症的发病率和患病率呈长期增长趋势,这种趋势可能正在发生变化。目前尚不清楚这种变化是否已经出现在非常高龄的人群中。
调查 2000 年至 2017 年间瑞典 85 岁、90 岁和≥95 岁人群中痴呆症和认知障碍的发病率以及痴呆症、认知障碍、阿尔茨海默病、血管性痴呆和未分类痴呆的患病率的时间趋势。
本研究使用了来自瑞典于 2000 年至 2017 年收集的 2182 名 85 岁、90 岁和≥95 岁的乌默奥 85+ /老年区域数据库的数据。使用逻辑回归估计了痴呆症和认知障碍的 5 年累积发病率、痴呆症、认知障碍、阿尔茨海默病和血管性痴呆的患病率以及痴呆症诊断的 Mini-Mental State Examination 阈值的趋势。
年轻组的痴呆症和认知障碍发病率下降,总体呈更积极的时间趋势。整体痴呆症、认知障碍和阿尔茨海默病的患病率保持稳定或增加;更长的疾病持续时间和不断增加的痴呆症亚型分类成功率可能掩盖了发病率的积极变化。血管性痴呆症增加,而未分类痴呆症普遍减少。
21 世纪非常高龄人群的认知健康可能正在发生变化,这可能表明趋势发生了变化。