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全球冲击、连锁破坏与(重新)连接:将新冠疫情视为并行的自然实验以理解土地系统动态

Global shocks, cascading disruptions, and (re-)connections: viewing the COVID-19 pandemic as concurrent natural experiments to understand land system dynamics.

作者信息

Piquer-Rodríguez María, Friis Cecilie, Andriatsitohaina R Ntsiva N, Boillat Sébastien, Roig-Boixeda Paula, Cortinovis Chiara, Geneletti Davide, Ibarrola-Rivas Maria-Jose, Kelley Lisa C, Llopis Jorge C, Mack Elizabeth A, Nanni Ana Sofía, Zaehringer Julie G, Henebry Geoffrey M

机构信息

Institute of Geographical Sciences, Freie Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany.

Department of Geosciences and Natural Resource Management, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.

出版信息

Landsc Ecol. 2023;38(5):1147-1161. doi: 10.1007/s10980-023-01604-2. Epub 2023 Mar 2.

DOI:10.1007/s10980-023-01604-2
PMID:37051136
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9977478/
Abstract

CONTEXT

For nearly three years, the COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted human well-being and livelihoods, communities, and economies in myriad ways with consequences for social-ecological systems across the planet. The pandemic represents a global shock in multiple dimensions that has already, and is likely to continue to have, far-reaching effects on land systems and on those depending on them for their livelihoods.

OBJECTIVES

We focus on the observed effects of the pandemic on landscapes and people composing diverse land systems across the globe.

METHODS

We highlight the interrelated impacts of the pandemic shock on the economic, health, and mobility dimensions of land systems using six vignettes from different land systems on four continents, analyzed through the lens of socio-ecological resilience and the telecoupling framework. We present preliminary comparative insights gathered through interviews, surveys, key informants, and authors' observations and propose new research avenues for land system scientists.

RESULTS

The pandemic's effects have been unevenly distributed, context-specific, and dependent on the multiple connections that link land systems across the globe.

CONCLUSIONS

We argue that the pandemic presents concurrent "natural experiments" that can advance our understanding of the intricate ways in which global shocks produce direct, indirect, and spillover effects on local and regional landscapes and land systems. These propagating shock effects disrupt existing connections, forge new connections, and re-establish former connections between peoples, landscapes, and land systems.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10980-023-01604-2.

摘要

背景

近三年来,新冠疫情以多种方式扰乱了人类福祉、生计、社区和经济,对全球社会生态系统产生了影响。这场疫情在多个层面构成了全球冲击,已经并可能继续对土地系统以及依赖土地系统为生的人们产生深远影响。

目标

我们关注疫情对全球不同土地系统中的景观和人群所产生的可观察到的影响。

方法

我们利用来自四大洲不同土地系统的六个案例,通过社会生态复原力和远程耦合框架的视角进行分析,突出疫情冲击对土地系统的经济、健康和流动性层面的相互关联影响。我们展示了通过访谈、调查、关键信息提供者以及作者观察收集到的初步比较见解,并为土地系统科学家提出了新的研究途径。

结果

疫情的影响分布不均、因具体情况而异,且取决于连接全球土地系统的多种联系。

结论

我们认为,疫情提供了并行的“自然实验”,能够增进我们对全球冲击如何以复杂方式对地方和区域景观及土地系统产生直接、间接和溢出效应的理解。这些不断传播的冲击效应会破坏现有的联系,建立新的联系,并重新建立人与景观及土地系统之间以前的联系。

补充信息

在线版本包含可在10.1007/s10980-023-01604-2获取的补充材料。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/952a/10089984/eaeb95f123a6/10980_2023_1604_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/952a/10089984/cdc03eedb917/10980_2023_1604_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/952a/10089984/eaeb95f123a6/10980_2023_1604_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/952a/10089984/cdc03eedb917/10980_2023_1604_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/952a/10089984/eaeb95f123a6/10980_2023_1604_Fig2_HTML.jpg

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