Department of Geography, Kyungpook National University, Daegu, 41566, South Korea.
Department of Oceanography, University of Science and Technology, Daejeon, 34113, South Korea.
Sci Rep. 2023 Apr 19;13(1):6372. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-33104-3.
This study employs a refined geometric variability model to look at the environmental relationship to super typhoon climatology, which is one of the major concerns about climate change and disasters. It is noted that adding only several recent years leads to a remarkable weakening of the environmental explanatory power on super typhoon climatology. Looking into the annual covariance elements, we find that the recent observations showing a group of outlying events with a particular drift are more than unfamiliar compared to the former stable relationship from 1985 through 2012. Greater uncertainty thereby amplifies concerns about the looming climate crisis.
本研究采用改进的几何变率模型来研究环境与超强台风气候之间的关系，这是气候变化和灾害的主要关注点之一。值得注意的是，仅加入最近几年的数据会显著削弱环境因素对超强台风气候的解释能力。通过分析年协方差元素，我们发现，与 1985 年至 2012 年之前稳定的关系相比，最近的观测结果显示出一组具有特定漂移的异常事件，这是前所未有的。因此，更大的不确定性加剧了人们对迫在眉睫的气候危机的担忧。
