Sri Lanka Institute of Information Technology, SLIIT Business School, Malabe, Sri Lanka.
Department of Information Management, Sri Lanka Institute of Information Technology, SLIIT Business School, Malabe, Sri Lanka.
PLoS One. 2023 Apr 24;18(4):e0284895. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0284895. eCollection 2023.
The elderly population and economic growth have been a contentious topic among researchers. Regardless of the economic growth rate, the population and its growth have a stimulating influence on economic development. This study aims to explore the relationship between the elderly population and economic growth in 15 Asian countries, based on secondary data gathered from the WDI (World Development Indicators) from 1961 to 2021. This research contributes to filling the empirical gap, capturing the Granger causality concerning the relationship between the elderly population and economic growth in the Asian context in a single study. The empirical findings highlighted a one-way Granger causality from economic growth to the elderly population for India, Japan, Malaysia, and Singapore while vice versa for Bangladesh, China, and Pakistan. Furthermore, for Nepal, there is a two-way Granger causality, while there is no Granger causality for remaining countries. To the best of the authors' knowledge, this study has been the first to investigate the relationship between the elderly population and economic growth for Asian nations, using a lengthy data series and a Granger causality test. The main findings will assist the governments, policymakers, and foreign investors in effective decision-making in this regard.
老年人口与经济增长一直是研究人员争论的话题。无论经济增长率如何,人口及其增长对经济发展都具有刺激作用。本研究旨在基于 1961 年至 2021 年世界发展指标(WDI)收集的二次数据,探讨 15 个亚洲国家的老年人口与经济增长之间的关系。这项研究有助于填补实证空白,在单一研究中捕捉亚洲背景下老年人口与经济增长之间关系的格兰杰因果关系。实证结果突出表明,印度、日本、马来西亚和新加坡的经济增长对老年人口具有单向格兰杰因果关系,而孟加拉国、中国和巴基斯坦则相反。此外,尼泊尔存在双向格兰杰因果关系,而其余国家则不存在格兰杰因果关系。据作者所知,这项研究首次使用较长的数据序列和格兰杰因果关系检验,调查了亚洲国家老年人口与经济增长之间的关系。主要发现将有助于政府、政策制定者和外国投资者在这方面做出有效决策。