Zhang Jian, Gaidai Oleg, Ji Hegang, Xing Yihan
Jiangsu University of Science and Technology, Zhenjiang, China.
Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai, China.
Heliyon. 2023 Apr 5;9(4):e15189. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e15189. eCollection 2023 Apr.
As a result of climate change, the Arctic glaciers start to melt, and the summer season arrives, making it acceptable for trade ships. There is still shattered ice in the saltwater even though the Arctic glaciers melt in the summer. The stochastic ice loading on the ship's hull is a complex ship-ice interaction. In order to properly build a vessel, it is necessary to reliably estimate the consequent high bow stresses using statistical extrapolation techniques. The bivariate reliability approach is used in this study to compute the excessive bow forces that an oil tanker encounters while sailing in the Arctic Ocean. Two stages are taken in the analysis. First, ANSYS/LS-DYNA is used to compute the oil tanker's bow stress distribution. Second, high bow stresses are projected utilizing a unique dependability methodology to evaluate return levels associated with extended return times. This research focuses on bow loads of an oil tanker travelling in the Artic Ocean using the recorded ice thickness distribution. To take advantage of weaker ice, the vessel's itinerary across the Arctic Ocean was windy (not the shortest straight path). This results in the ship route data used being inaccurate concerning the ice thickness statistics for the area yet skewed concerning the ice thickness data that was particular to a vessel's path. Therefore, this work aims to present a quick and precise approach for estimating the high bow stresses experienced by oil tankers along a given path. Most designs incorporate univariate characteristic values, while this study advocates a bivariate reliability approach for a safer and better design.
由于气候变化,北极冰川开始融化,夏季来临,贸易船只得以通行。尽管北极冰川在夏季融化,但海水中仍有破碎的冰块。船体上的随机冰荷载是一种复杂的船冰相互作用。为了正确建造一艘船舶,有必要使用统计外推技术可靠地估计由此产生的高艏应力。本研究采用双变量可靠性方法来计算一艘油轮在北冰洋航行时所遇到的过大艏向力。分析过程分两个阶段进行。首先,使用ANSYS/LS-DYNA计算油轮的艏应力分布。其次,利用一种独特的可靠性方法预测高艏应力,以评估与延长返回时间相关的返回水平。本研究利用记录的冰厚分布,重点关注在北冰洋航行的油轮的艏向荷载。为了利用较弱的冰层,该船穿越北冰洋的航线多风(并非最短的直线航线)。这导致所使用的船舶航线数据在该区域的冰厚统计方面不准确,但在特定船舶航线的冰厚数据方面存在偏差。因此,这项工作旨在提出一种快速而精确的方法,用于估计油轮沿给定航线所经历的高艏应力。大多数设计采用单变量特征值,而本研究提倡采用双变量可靠性方法,以实现更安全、更好的设计。