• 文献检索
  • 文档翻译
  • 深度研究
  • 学术资讯
  • Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件
  • 邀请有礼
  • 套餐&价格
  • 历史记录
应用&插件
Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件浏览器插件Mac 客户端Windows 客户端微信小程序
定价
高级版会员购买积分包购买API积分包
服务
文献检索文档翻译深度研究API 文档MCP 服务
关于我们
关于 Suppr公司介绍联系我们用户协议隐私条款
关注我们

Suppr 超能文献

核心技术专利:CN118964589B侵权必究
粤ICP备2023148730 号-1Suppr @ 2026

文献检索

告别复杂PubMed语法,用中文像聊天一样搜索,搜遍4000万医学文献。AI智能推荐,让科研检索更轻松。

立即免费搜索

文件翻译

保留排版,准确专业,支持PDF/Word/PPT等文件格式,支持 12+语言互译。

免费翻译文档

深度研究

AI帮你快速写综述,25分钟生成高质量综述,智能提取关键信息,辅助科研写作。

立即免费体验

未来世界癌症死亡率预测。

Future world cancer death rate prediction.

机构信息

Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai, China.

University of Stavanger, Stavanger, Norway.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2023 Jan 6;13(1):303. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-27547-x.

DOI:10.1038/s41598-023-27547-x
PMID:36609490
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9822976/
Abstract

Cancer is a worldwide illness that causes significant morbidity and death and imposes an immense cost on global public health. Modelling such a phenomenon is complex because of the non-stationarity and complexity of cancer waves. Apply modern novel statistical methods directly to raw clinical data. To estimate extreme cancer death rate likelihood at any period in any location of interest. Traditional statistical methodologies that deal with temporal observations of multi-regional processes cannot adequately deal with substantial regional dimensionality and cross-correlation of various regional variables. Setting: multicenter, population-based, medical survey data-based biostatistical approach. Due to the non-stationarity and complicated nature of cancer, it is challenging to model such a phenomenon. This paper offers a unique bio-system dependability technique suited for multi-regional environmental and health systems. When monitored over a significant period, it yields a reliable long-term projection of the chance of an exceptional cancer mortality rate. Traditional statistical approaches dealing with temporal observations of multi-regional processes cannot effectively deal with large regional dimensionality and cross-correlation between multiple regional data. The provided approach may be employed in numerous public health applications, depending on their clinical survey data.

摘要

癌症是一种全球性疾病,会导致严重的发病率和死亡率,并给全球公共卫生带来巨大负担。由于癌症波的非平稳性和复杂性,对这种现象进行建模非常复杂。直接将现代新颖的统计方法应用于原始临床数据。以估计任何地点任何时期的极端癌症死亡率的可能性。传统的统计方法处理多区域过程的时间观测,无法充分处理大量的区域维度和各种区域变量之间的交叉相关性。环境和健康系统。由于癌症的非平稳性和复杂性,对这种现象进行建模具有挑战性。本文提供了一种独特的适用于多区域环境和健康系统的生物系统可靠性技术。在长时间监测下,它可以可靠地预测异常癌症死亡率的长期可能性。传统的统计方法处理多区域过程的时间观测,无法有效处理大量的区域维度和多个区域数据之间的交叉相关性。提供的方法可以根据他们的临床调查数据应用于许多公共卫生应用。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1848/9822976/98504fb883c0/41598_2023_27547_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1848/9822976/5c442bf538c6/41598_2023_27547_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1848/9822976/f8984be0e5f9/41598_2023_27547_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1848/9822976/547733139d55/41598_2023_27547_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1848/9822976/1a1b8f3d30e8/41598_2023_27547_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1848/9822976/98504fb883c0/41598_2023_27547_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1848/9822976/5c442bf538c6/41598_2023_27547_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1848/9822976/f8984be0e5f9/41598_2023_27547_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1848/9822976/547733139d55/41598_2023_27547_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1848/9822976/1a1b8f3d30e8/41598_2023_27547_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1848/9822976/98504fb883c0/41598_2023_27547_Fig5_HTML.jpg

相似文献

1
Future world cancer death rate prediction.未来世界癌症死亡率预测。
Sci Rep. 2023 Jan 6;13(1):303. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-27547-x.
2
Global Cardiovascular Diseases Death Rate Prediction.全球心血管疾病死亡率预测。
Curr Probl Cardiol. 2023 May;48(5):101622. doi: 10.1016/j.cpcardiol.2023.101622. Epub 2023 Jan 29.
3
Gaidai reliability method for long-term coronavirus modelling.盖代可靠性方法用于长期冠状病毒建模。
F1000Res. 2023 Nov 21;11:1282. doi: 10.12688/f1000research.125924.2. eCollection 2022.
4
Future worldwide coronavirus disease 2019 epidemic predictions by Gaidai multivariate risk evaluation method.通过盖代多变量风险评估方法对2019年全球新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情的未来预测
Anal Sci Adv. 2024 Aug 27;5(7-8):e2400027. doi: 10.1002/ansa.202400027. eCollection 2024 Aug.
5
Dementia death rates prediction.痴呆症死亡率预测。
BMC Psychiatry. 2023 Sep 22;23(1):691. doi: 10.1186/s12888-023-05172-2.
6
Public health system sustainability assessment by Gaidai hypersurface approach.采用盖代超曲面方法对公共卫生系统可持续性进行评估。
Curr Probl Cardiol. 2024 Mar;49(3):102391. doi: 10.1016/j.cpcardiol.2024.102391. Epub 2024 Jan 19.
7
HIV deathrate prediction by Gaidai multivariate risks assessment method.盖代多变量风险评估法预测 HIV 死亡率。
Immun Inflamm Dis. 2024 Oct;12(10):e70040. doi: 10.1002/iid3.70040.
8
COVID-19 spatio-temporal forecast in England.英格兰地区新冠疫情的时空预测
Biosystems. 2023 Nov;233:105035. doi: 10.1016/j.biosystems.2023.105035. Epub 2023 Sep 21.
9
Global and regional mortality from 235 causes of death for 20 age groups in 1990 and 2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010.1990年和2010年20个年龄组中235种死因的全球和区域死亡率:全球疾病负担研究2010的系统分析
Lancet. 2012 Dec 15;380(9859):2095-128. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(12)61728-0.
10
Prediction of death rates for cardiovascular diseases and cancers.心血管疾病和癌症死亡率的预测。
Cancer Innov. 2023 Feb 9;2(2):140-147. doi: 10.1002/cai2.47. eCollection 2023 Apr.

引用本文的文献

1
Viscoelastic characterization of the human osteosarcoma cancer cell line MG-63 using a fractional-order zener model through automated algorithm design and configuration.通过自动算法设计与配置,使用分数阶齐纳模型对人骨肉瘤癌细胞系MG-63进行粘弹性表征。
Sci Rep. 2025 Aug 26;15(1):31436. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-16174-3.
2
Correlations of resilience with coping styles and quality of life in patients with malignancies.恶性肿瘤患者心理弹性与应对方式及生活质量的相关性
World J Psychiatry. 2025 Apr 19;15(4):100573. doi: 10.5498/wjp.v15.i4.100573.
3
Singapore COVID-19 data cross-validation by the Gaidai reliability method.

本文引用的文献

1
Gaidai reliability method for long-term coronavirus modelling.盖代可靠性方法用于长期冠状病毒建模。
F1000Res. 2023 Nov 21;11:1282. doi: 10.12688/f1000research.125924.2. eCollection 2022.
2
Novel methods for wind speeds prediction across multiple locations.多地点风速预测的新方法。
Sci Rep. 2022 Nov 15;12(1):19614. doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-24061-4.
3
Cancer statistics, 2022.癌症统计数据,2022 年。
采用盖代可靠性方法对新加坡新冠疫情数据进行交叉验证。
Npj Viruses. 2023 Dec 13;1(1):9. doi: 10.1038/s44298-023-00006-0.
4
Design, synthesis, studies and antiproliferative evaluation of some novel hybrids of pyrimidine-morpholine.嘧啶 - 吗啉一些新型杂化物的设计、合成、研究及抗增殖活性评价
Front Chem. 2025 Feb 28;13:1537261. doi: 10.3389/fchem.2025.1537261. eCollection 2025.
5
Silver -Heterocyclic Carbene (NHC) Complexes as Antimicrobial and/or Anticancer Agents.银-杂环卡宾(NHC)配合物作为抗菌和/或抗癌剂
Pharmaceuticals (Basel). 2024 Dec 25;18(1):9. doi: 10.3390/ph18010009.
6
Influenza-type epidemic risks by spatio-temporal Gaidai-Yakimov method.采用盖代-亚基莫夫时空方法评估流感样疫情风险。
Dialogues Health. 2023 Oct 27;3:100157. doi: 10.1016/j.dialog.2023.100157. eCollection 2023 Dec.
7
Phytosome-Enhanced Secondary Metabolites for Improved Anticancer Efficacy: Mechanisms and Bioavailability Review.用于提高抗癌疗效的植物体增强次生代谢产物:作用机制与生物利用度综述
Drug Des Devel Ther. 2025 Jan 11;19:201-218. doi: 10.2147/DDDT.S483404. eCollection 2025.
8
Evaluating the Anticancer Properties of Novel Piscidinol A Derivatives: Insights from DFT, Molecular Docking, and Molecular Dynamics Studies.评估新型鱼抗菌肽A衍生物的抗癌特性:来自密度泛函理论、分子对接和分子动力学研究的见解
ACS Omega. 2024 Nov 29;9(50):49639-49661. doi: 10.1021/acsomega.4c07808. eCollection 2024 Dec 17.
9
Novel benzenesulfonamides containing a dual triazole moiety with selective carbonic anhydrase inhibition and anticancer activity.含有双三唑部分的新型苯磺酰胺,具有选择性碳酸酐酶抑制作用和抗癌活性。
RSC Med Chem. 2024 Oct 4;16(1):324-45. doi: 10.1039/d4md00617h.
10
Insights into Metabolic Reprogramming in Tumor Evolution and Therapy.肿瘤发生发展及治疗中代谢重编程的见解
Cancers (Basel). 2024 Oct 17;16(20):3513. doi: 10.3390/cancers16203513.
CA Cancer J Clin. 2022 Jan;72(1):7-33. doi: 10.3322/caac.21708. Epub 2022 Jan 12.
4
Association of the COVID-19 Pandemic With Patterns of Statewide Cancer Services.**新冠疫情与全州范围癌症服务模式的关联**。
J Natl Cancer Inst. 2022 Jun 13;114(6):907-909. doi: 10.1093/jnci/djab122.
5
A bivariate logistic regression model based on latent variables.基于潜变量的双变量逻辑回归模型。
Stat Med. 2020 Sep 30;39(22):2962-2979. doi: 10.1002/sim.8587. Epub 2020 Jul 17.
6
Geographical, racial and socio-economic variation in life expectancy in the US and their impact on cancer relative survival.美国预期寿命的地理、种族和社会经济差异及其对癌症相对生存率的影响。
PLoS One. 2018 Jul 25;13(7):e0201034. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0201034. eCollection 2018.
7
Determining the distribution of fitness effects using a generalized Beta-Burr distribution.使用广义Beta-Burr分布确定适应度效应的分布。
Theor Popul Biol. 2018 Jul;122:88-96. doi: 10.1016/j.tpb.2017.07.001. Epub 2017 Jul 12.
8
Bayesian bivariate survival analysis using the power variance function copula.使用幂方差函数Copula的贝叶斯双变量生存分析。
Lifetime Data Anal. 2018 Apr;24(2):355-383. doi: 10.1007/s10985-017-9396-1. Epub 2017 May 23.
9
Deaths: Final Data for 2012.死亡:2012年最终数据。
Natl Vital Stat Rep. 2015 Aug 31;63(9):1-117.
10
Testing the extreme value domain of attraction for distributions of beneficial fitness effects.测试有益适合度效应分布的极值吸引域。
Genetics. 2007 Aug;176(4):2441-9. doi: 10.1534/genetics.106.068585. Epub 2007 Jun 11.