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德国在 COVID-19 大流行的不同阶段之前和期间急诊科利用情况的变化,使用截至 2021 年 6 月的国家监测系统数据。

Changes in emergency department utilisation in Germany before and during different phases of the COVID-19 pandemic, using data from a national surveillance system up to June 2021.

机构信息

Department for Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Robert Koch Institute, Berlin, Germany.

Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin and Humboldt, Universität zu Berlin, Institute of Public Health, Berlin, Germany.

出版信息

BMC Public Health. 2023 May 2;23(1):799. doi: 10.1186/s12889-023-15375-7.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

During the COVID-19 pandemic and associated public health and social measures, decreasing patient numbers have been described in various healthcare settings in Germany, including emergency care. This could be explained by changes in disease burden, e.g. due to contact restrictions, but could also be a result of changes in utilisation behaviour of the population. To better understand those dynamics, we analysed routine data from emergency departments to quantify changes in consultation numbers, age distribution, disease acuity and day and hour of the day during different phases of the COVID-19 pandemic.

METHODS

We used interrupted time series analyses to estimate relative changes for consultation numbers of 20 emergency departments spread throughout Germany. For the pandemic period (16-03-2020 - 13-06-2021) four different phases of the COVID-19 pandemic were defined as interruption points, the pre-pandemic period (06-03-2017 - 09-03-2020) was used as the reference.

RESULTS

The most pronounced decreases were visible in the first and second wave of the pandemic, with changes of - 30.0% (95%CI: - 32.2%; - 27.7%) and - 25.7% (95%CI: - 27.4%; - 23.9%) for overall consultations, respectively. The decrease was even stronger for the age group of 0-19 years, with - 39.4% in the first and - 35.0% in the second wave. Regarding acuity levels, consultations assessed as urgent, standard, and non-urgent showed the largest decrease, while the most severe cases showed the smallest decrease.

CONCLUSIONS

The number of emergency department consultations decreased rapidly during the COVID-19 pandemic, without extensive variation in the distribution of patient characteristics. Smallest changes were observed for the most severe consultations and older age groups, which is especially reassuring regarding concerns of possible long-term complications due to patients avoiding urgent emergency care during the pandemic.

摘要

背景

在 COVID-19 大流行期间以及随之而来的公共卫生和社会措施中,德国各地的各种医疗保健环境中,包括急诊,都有报道称患者数量减少。这可能是由于疾病负担的变化,例如由于接触限制,但也可能是由于人口利用行为的变化所致。为了更好地了解这些动态,我们分析了急诊科的常规数据,以量化 COVID-19 大流行不同阶段咨询人数、年龄分布、疾病严重程度以及一天中的时间的变化。

方法

我们使用中断时间序列分析来估计德国各地 20 个急诊科的咨询人数的相对变化。对于大流行期间(2020 年 3 月 16 日至 2021 年 6 月 13 日),定义了 COVID-19 大流行的四个不同阶段作为中断点,将大流行前时期(2017 年 3 月 6 日至 2020 年 3 月 9 日)作为参考。

结果

大流行的第一波和第二波期间,下降最为明显,总咨询量分别下降了-30.0%(95%CI:-32.2%;-27.7%)和-25.7%(95%CI:-27.4%;-23.9%)。对于 0-19 岁年龄组,降幅甚至更大,第一波和第二波分别为-39.4%和-35.0%。关于严重程度级别,评估为紧急、标准和非紧急的咨询量下降幅度最大,而最严重的病例下降幅度最小。

结论

在 COVID-19 大流行期间,急诊科就诊人数迅速减少,而患者特征的分布没有广泛变化。最严重的咨询和年龄较大的患者群体观察到的变化最小,这对于因担心大流行期间可能出现长期并发症而避免紧急急诊护理的患者来说,尤其令人放心。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bb75/10152711/67c9548efb7b/12889_2023_15375_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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