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预期寿命性别差距、空气污染和城市化之间的关系:基于贝叶斯时空建模的全球评估。

Associations Between Gender Gaps in Life Expectancy, Air Pollution, and Urbanization: A Global Assessment With Bayesian Spatiotemporal Modeling.

机构信息

Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.

State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.

出版信息

Int J Public Health. 2023 May 10;68:1605345. doi: 10.3389/ijph.2023.1605345. eCollection 2023.

DOI:10.3389/ijph.2023.1605345
PMID:37234944
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10207345/
Abstract

It's evident that women have a longer life expectancy than men. This study investigates the spatiotemporal trends of gender gaps in life expectancy (GGLE). It demonstrates the spatiotemporal difference of the influence factors of population-weighted air pollution (pwPM) and urbanization on GGLE. Panel data on GGLE and influencing factors from 134 countries from 1960 to 2018 are collected. The Bayesian spatiotemporal model is performed. The results show an obvious spatial heterogeneity worldwide with a continuously increasing trend of GGLE. Bayesian spatiotemporal regression reveals a significant positive relationship between pwPM, urbanization, and GGLE with the spatial random effects. Further, the regression coefficients present obvious geographic disparities across space worldwide. In sum, social-economic development and air quality improvement should be considered comprehensively in global policy to make a fair chance for both genders to maximize their health gains.

摘要

很明显,女性的预期寿命比男性长。本研究调查了预期寿命性别差距(GGLE)的时空趋势。它展示了人口加权空气污染(pwPM)和城市化对 GGLE 影响因素的时空差异。收集了 1960 年至 2018 年来自 134 个国家的 GGLE 和影响因素的面板数据。进行了贝叶斯时空模型。结果表明,全球范围内存在明显的空间异质性,GGLE 呈持续增长趋势。贝叶斯时空回归表明,pwPM、城市化与 GGLE 之间存在显著的正相关关系,且具有空间随机效应。此外,回归系数在全球范围内呈现出明显的地域差异。总之,在制定全球政策时,应综合考虑社会经济发展和空气质量改善,为两性提供公平的机会,最大限度地提高他们的健康收益。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1523/10207345/7b6cb5bd1409/ijph-68-1605345-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1523/10207345/2816d98b382c/ijph-68-1605345-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1523/10207345/2fc98e315d10/ijph-68-1605345-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1523/10207345/7b6cb5bd1409/ijph-68-1605345-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1523/10207345/2816d98b382c/ijph-68-1605345-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1523/10207345/2fc98e315d10/ijph-68-1605345-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1523/10207345/7b6cb5bd1409/ijph-68-1605345-g003.jpg

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