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口罩是抗击新冠疫情的有效工具,一些因素增加了其采用的概率。

Face mask is an efficient tool to fight the Covid-19 pandemic and some factors increase the probability of its adoption.

机构信息

BETA, University of Lorraine, France and CEC Paris Dauphine, Paris, France.

University of Economics Ho Chi Minh City, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2023 Jun 6;13(1):9218. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-34776-7.

Abstract

This study examines the dynamic impact of face mask use on both infected cases and fatalities at a global scale by using a rich set of panel data econometrics. An increase of 100% of the proportion of people declaring wearing a mask (multiply by two) over the studied period lead to a reduction of around 12 and 13.5% of the number of Covid-19 infected cases (per capita) after 7 and 14 days respectively. The delay of action varies from around 7 days to 28 days concerning infected cases but is more longer concerning fatalities. Our results hold when using the rigorous controlling approach. We also document the increasing adoption of mask use over time and the drivers of mask adoption. In addition, population density and pollution levels are significant determinants of heterogeneity regarding mask adoption across countries, while altruism, trust in government and demographics are not. However, individualism index is negatively correlated with mask adoption. Finally, strict government policies against Covid-19 have a strong significant effect on mask use.

摘要

本研究通过使用丰富的面板数据计量经济学,考察了在全球范围内口罩使用对感染病例和死亡人数的动态影响。在研究期间,声称戴口罩的人数比例增加 100%(翻倍),将分别导致新冠病毒感染病例(人均)在 7 天和 14 天后减少约 12%和 13.5%。就感染病例而言,行动的延迟时间大约在 7 天到 28 天之间,但就死亡人数而言,延迟时间则更长。当使用严格的控制方法时,我们的结果仍然成立。我们还记录了随着时间的推移,口罩使用的不断增加以及口罩使用的驱动因素。此外,人口密度和污染水平是各国口罩使用异质性的重要决定因素,而利他主义、对政府的信任和人口统计学因素则不是。然而,个人主义指数与口罩使用呈负相关。最后,政府针对新冠疫情的严格政策对口罩使用有很强的显著影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/31ac/10244456/242b51dd6dfd/41598_2023_34776_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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