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2015-2021 年英格兰和威尔士 COVID-19 限制措施对 spp. 流行情况的影响:一项时间序列分析。

Impact of the COVID-19 restrictions on the epidemiology of spp. in England and Wales, 2015-2021: a time series analysis.

机构信息

Communicable Disease Surveillance Centre, Public Health Wales, Cardiff, UK.

UK Field Epidemiology Training Programme, UK Health Security Agency, London, UK.

出版信息

J Med Microbiol. 2023 Jun;72(6). doi: 10.1099/jmm.0.001693.

Abstract

In England and Wales, cryptosporidiosis cases peak in spring and autumn, associated with zoonotic/environmental exposures ( spring/autumn) and overseas travel/water-based activities ( autumn). Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) restrictions prevented social mixing, overseas travel and access to venues (swimming pools/restaurants) for many months, potentially increasing environmental exposures as people sought alternative countryside activities. COVID-19 restrictions reduced incidence of cases and potentially increased incidence of cases. To inform/strengthen surveillance programmes, we investigated the impact of COVID-19 restrictions on the epidemiology of and cases. Cases were extracted from the Cryptosporidium Reference Unit (CRU) database (1 January 2015 to 31 December 2021). We defined two periods for pre- and post-COVID-19 restrictions implementation, corresponding to before and after the first UK-wide lockdown on 23 March 2020. We conducted a time series analysis, assessing differences in and incidence, trends and periodicity between these periods. There were 21 304 cases (=12 246; =9058). Post-restrictions implementation incidence of dropped by 97.5 % (95 % CI: 95.4-98.6 %; <0.001). The decreasing incidence trend pre-restrictions was not observed post-restrictions implementation due to lack of cases. No periodicity change was observed post-restrictions implementation. There was a strong social gradient; there was a higher proportion of cases in deprived areas. For , post-restrictions implementation incidence fell by 49.0 % (95 % CI: 38.4-58.3 %; <0.001). There was no pre-restrictions incidence trend but an increasing incidence trend post-restrictions implementation. A periodicity change was observed post-restriction implementation, peaking 1 week earlier in spring and 2 weeks later in autumn. The social gradient was the inverse of that for . Where recorded, 22 % of and 8 % of cases had travelled abroad. cases almost entirely ceased post-restrictions implementation, reinforcing that foreign travel seeds infections. incidence fell sharply but recovered post-restrictions implementation, consistent with relaxation of restrictions. Future exceedance reporting for should exclude the post-restriction implementation period but retain it for (except the first 6 weeks post-restrictions implementation). Infection prevention and control advice should be improved for people with gastrointestinal illness (GI) symptoms to ensure hand hygiene and swimming pool avoidance.

摘要

在英格兰和威尔士,隐孢子虫病的病例在春季和秋季达到高峰,与动物源/环境暴露(春季/秋季)和海外旅行/水上活动(秋季)有关。2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)限制措施阻止了数月来的社交聚会、海外旅行和进入场所(游泳池/餐馆)的机会,这可能增加了人们寻找替代乡村活动时的环境暴露。COVID-19 限制措施降低了 的病例发生率,并可能增加了 的病例发生率。为了提供信息/加强监测计划,我们调查了 COVID-19 限制措施对 和 的流行病学的影响。从隐孢子虫参考单位(CRU)数据库(2015 年 1 月 1 日至 2021 年 12 月 31 日)中提取病例。我们定义了 COVID-19 限制措施实施前后的两个时期,分别对应于 2020 年 3 月 23 日英国首次全面封锁之前和之后。我们进行了时间序列分析,评估了这些时期之间 和 的发病率、趋势和周期性的差异。共有 21304 例病例(=12246 例;=9058 例)。限制措施实施后, 的发病率下降了 97.5%(95%CI:95.4-98.6%;<0.001)。由于病例减少,限制措施实施前的发病率下降趋势在限制措施实施后并未出现。限制措施实施后未观察到周期性变化。存在强烈的社会梯度;在贫困地区有更高比例的病例。对于 ,限制措施实施后发病率下降了 49.0%(95%CI:38.4-58.3%;<0.001)。限制措施实施前没有发病率趋势,但限制措施实施后有上升趋势。限制措施实施后观察到周期性变化,春季提前 1 周达到峰值,秋季推迟 2 周。社会梯度与 相反。在有记录的情况下,22%的 和 8%的 病例有出国旅行史。限制措施实施后,几乎完全停止了 病例的发生,这进一步证实了境外旅行会引发感染。限制措施实施后, 的发病率急剧下降,但随后又恢复,这与限制措施的放宽相一致。今后应将限制措施实施后的时期排除在 病例的超额报告之外,但保留其用于 (限制措施实施后的前 6 周除外)。应改进针对有胃肠道症状(GI)的人的感染预防和控制建议,以确保手部卫生和避免游泳池。

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