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人类合作对疫苗接种行为的影响。

Impact of human cooperation on vaccination behaviors.

作者信息

Kabir K M Ariful

机构信息

Department of Mathematics, Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, Dhaka, 1000, Bangladesh.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2023 May 27;9(6):e16748. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e16748. eCollection 2023 Jun.

Abstract

This paper studies a dynamic vaccination game model embedded with vaccine cost-effectiveness and dyadic game during an epidemic, assuming the appearance of cooperation among individuals from an evolutionary perspective. The infection dynamics of the individuals' states follow a modified S/VIS (susceptible/vaccinated-infected-susceptible) dynamics. Initially, we assume that the individuals are unsure about their infection status. Thus, they make decisions regarding their options based on their neighbors' perceptions, the prevalence of the disease, and the characteristics of the available vaccines. We then consider the strategy updating process IBRA (individuals-based risk assessment) concerning an individual's committing vaccination based on a neighbor's decision. In the perspective of social dilemma, it presents the idea of social efficiency deficit to find the gap between social optimum and Nash equilibrium point based on dilemma strength by considering vaccine decision. The cost and cooperative behavior depend on disease severity, neighbor's attitude, and vaccine properties to obtain a reduced-order optimal solution to control infectious diseases. Vaccine factors (efficiency, cost, and benefit) are crucial in changing human vaccine decisions and cooperative behavior. It turns out that, even in the prisoner's dilemma case, where all defection attitude occurs, vaccine uptake (cooperation) increases. Finally, extensive numerical studies were presented that illustrate interesting phenomena and investigate the ultimate extent of the epidemic, vaccination coverage, average social benefits, and the social efficiency deficit concerning optimal strategies and the dynamic vaccine attitudes of individuals. PACS numbers. Theory and modeling; computer simulation, 87.15. Aa; Dynamics of evolution, 87.23. Kg.

摘要

本文研究了一种在疫情期间嵌入疫苗成本效益和二元博弈的动态疫苗接种博弈模型,从进化的角度假设个体之间出现合作。个体状态的感染动态遵循修正的S/VIS(易感/接种-感染-易感)动态。最初,我们假设个体不确定自己的感染状态。因此,他们根据邻居的看法、疾病流行程度和可用疫苗的特性来决定自己的选择。然后,我们考虑了基于个体邻居决策进行疫苗接种的策略更新过程IBRA(基于个体的风险评估)。从社会困境的角度来看,它提出了社会效率赤字的概念,通过考虑疫苗决策,基于困境强度来找到社会最优与纳什均衡点之间的差距。成本和合作行为取决于疾病严重程度、邻居态度和疫苗特性,以获得控制传染病的降阶最优解。疫苗因素(效率、成本和效益)对于改变人类疫苗决策和合作行为至关重要。结果表明,即使在所有个体都采取背叛态度的囚徒困境情况下,疫苗接种率(合作)也会增加。最后,进行了广泛的数值研究,展示了有趣的现象,并研究了疫情的最终规模、疫苗接种覆盖率、平均社会效益以及关于最优策略和个体动态疫苗态度的社会效率赤字。物理和天文学分类号。理论与建模;计算机模拟,87.15. Aa;进化动力学,87.23. Kg。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2997/10245234/1319d1710492/gr1.jpg

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