School of Health Policy and Management, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
The First School of Clinical Medicine, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
BMC Geriatr. 2023 Jun 30;23(1):402. doi: 10.1186/s12877-023-04111-w.
Long-term and end-of-life (EOL) care for older adults has become a global concern due to extended longevity, which is generally accompanied by increased rates of disability. However, differences in the rates of disability in activities of daily living (ADLs), place of death and medical expenditures during the last year of life between centenarians and non-centenarians in China remain unknown. This study aims to fill this research gap to inform policy efforts for the capacity-building of long-term and EOL care for the oldest-old, especially for centenarians in China.
Data from 20,228 decedents were derived from the 1998-2018 Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey. Weighted logistic and Tobit regression models were used to estimate differences in the prevalence of functional disability, rate of death in hospitals and EOL medical expenditures by age groups among oldest-old individuals.
Of the 20,228 samples, 12,537 oldest-old individuals were female (weighted, 58.6%, hereafter); 3,767 were octogenarians, 8,260 were nonagenarians, and 8,201 were centenarians. After controlling for other covariates, nonagenarians and centenarians experienced a greater prevalence of full dependence (average marginal differences [95% CI]: 2.7% [0%, 5.3%]; 3.8% [0.3%, 7.9%]) and partial dependence (6.9% [3.4%, 10.3%]; 15.1% [10.5%, 19.8%]) but a smaller prevalence of partial independence (-8.9% [-11.6%, -6.2%]; -16.0% [-19.1%, -12.8%]) in ADLs than octogenarians. Nonagenarians and centenarians were less likely to die in hospitals (-3.0% [-4.7%, -1.2%]; -4.3% [-6.3%, -2.2%]). Additionally, nonagenarians and centenarians reported more medical expenditures during the last year of life than octogenarians with no statistically significant differences.
The oldest-old experienced an increased prevalence of full and partial dependence in ADLs with increasing age and reported a decline in the prevalence of full independence. Compared with octogenarians, nonagenarians and centenarians were less likely to die in hospitals. Therefore, future policy efforts are warranted to optimise the service provision of long-term and EOL care by age patterns for the oldest-old population in China.
由于寿命延长,老年人的长期和终末期(EOL)护理已成为全球关注的焦点,而这通常伴随着残疾率的上升。然而,在中国,百岁老人和非百岁老人在日常生活活动(ADL)中的残疾率、死亡地点和生命最后一年的医疗支出方面的差异尚不清楚。本研究旨在填补这一研究空白,为中国最年长人群的长期和 EOL 护理能力建设提供信息。
数据来自 1998 年至 2018 年中国纵向健康长寿调查的 20228 名死者。使用加权逻辑回归和 Tobit 回归模型估计在最年长人群中,按年龄组划分的功能残疾流行率、医院死亡率和生命最后一年医疗支出的差异。
在 20228 例样本中,有 12537 名最年长的个体为女性(加权,58.6%,以下简称);3767 人为 80 岁,8260 人为 90 岁,8201 人为百岁老人。在控制了其他协变量后,90 岁和百岁老人的完全依赖率(平均边际差异[95%CI]:2.7%[0%,5.3%];3.8%[0.3%,7.9%])和部分依赖率(6.9%[3.4%,10.3%];15.1%[10.5%,19.8%])更高,部分独立率(-8.9%[-11.6%,-6.2%];-16.0%[-19.1%,-12.8%])更低。90 岁和百岁老人住院的可能性较小(-3.0%[-4.7%,-1.2%];-4.3%[-6.3%,-2.2%])。此外,90 岁和百岁老人在生命最后一年的医疗支出比 80 岁老人多,但无统计学差异。
最年长的人群随着年龄的增长,ADL 中的完全依赖和部分依赖的流行率增加,而完全独立的流行率下降。与 80 岁老人相比,90 岁和百岁老人住院的可能性较小。因此,未来有必要根据年龄模式优化中国最年长人群的长期和 EOL 护理服务提供。