Am J Epidemiol. 2023 Nov 3;192(11):1864-1881. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwad159.
We examined relationships between resilience resources (optimism, social support, and neighborhood social cohesion) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) incidence and assessed potential effect-measure modification by psychosocial risk factors (e.g., stress, depression) among adults without CVD in 3 cohort studies (2000-2018): the Jackson Heart Study, the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, and the Mediators of Atherosclerosis in South Asians Living in America (MASALA) Study. We fitted adjusted Cox models accounting for within-neighborhood clustering while censoring at dropout or non-CVD death. We assessed for effect-measure modification by psychosocial risks. In secondary analyses, we estimated standardized risk ratios using inverse-probability-weighted Aalen-Johansen estimators to account for confounding, dropout, and competing risks (non-CVD deaths) and obtained 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using cluster bootstrapping. For high and medium (versus low) optimism (n = 6,243), adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for incident CVD were 0.94 (95% CI: 0.78, 1.13) and 0.90 (95% CI: 0.75, 1.07), respectively. Corresponding HRs were 0.88 (95% CI: 0.74, 1.04) and 0.92 (95% CI: 0.79, 1.06) for social support (n = 7,729) and 1.10 (95% CI: 0.94, 1.29) and 0.99 (95% CI: 0.85, 1.16) for social cohesion (n = 7,557), respectively. Some psychosocial risks modified CVD HRs. Secondary analyses yielded similar findings. For optimism and social support, an inverse relationship was frequently most compatible with the data, but a positive relationship was also compatible. For neighborhood social cohesion, positive and null relationships were most compatible. Thus, specific resilience resources may be potential intervention targets, especially among certain subgroups.
我们考察了韧性资源(乐观、社会支持和邻里社会凝聚力)与心血管疾病(CVD)发生率之间的关系,并在 3 项队列研究(2000-2018 年)中评估了心理社会风险因素(如压力、抑郁)对无 CVD 成年人的潜在效应修正作用:杰克逊心脏研究、多民族动脉粥样硬化研究和在美国生活的南亚裔动脉粥样硬化的中介物(MASALA)研究。我们拟合了调整后的 Cox 模型,考虑了邻里内的聚类,同时在辍学或非 CVD 死亡时进行了删失。我们评估了心理社会风险的效应修正作用。在二次分析中,我们使用逆概率加权 Aalen-Johansen 估计量来估计标准化风险比,以考虑混杂因素、辍学和竞争风险(非 CVD 死亡),并使用聚类引导获得 95%置信区间(CI)。对于高和中(而非低)乐观度(n=6243),CVD 发生率的调整后危险比(HR)分别为 0.94(95%CI:0.78,1.13)和 0.90(95%CI:0.75,1.07)。对于社会支持(n=7729),相应的 HR 分别为 0.88(95%CI:0.74,1.04)和 0.92(95%CI:0.79,1.06),对于社会凝聚力(n=7557),相应的 HR 分别为 1.10(95%CI:0.94,1.29)和 0.99(95%CI:0.85,1.16)。一些心理社会风险修正了 CVD HR。二次分析得出了类似的发现。对于乐观度和社会支持,反相关关系通常最符合数据,但正相关关系也符合。对于邻里社会凝聚力,正相关和零相关关系最符合。因此,特定的韧性资源可能是潜在的干预目标,尤其是在某些亚组中。