Zurich Center for Neuroeconomics, Department of Economics, University of Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Department of Neuroscience, School of Medicine, Washington University in St Louis, St. Louis, MO, USA.
Nat Hum Behav. 2023 Sep;7(9):1551-1567. doi: 10.1038/s41562-023-01643-4. Epub 2023 Jul 17.
Humans are generally risk averse, preferring smaller certain over larger uncertain outcomes. Economic theories usually explain this by assuming concave utility functions. Here, we provide evidence that risk aversion can also arise from relative underestimation of larger monetary payoffs, a perceptual bias rooted in the noisy logarithmic coding of numerical magnitudes. We confirmed this with psychophysics and functional magnetic resonance imaging, by measuring behavioural and neural acuity of magnitude representations during a magnitude perception task and relating these measures to risk attitudes during separate risky financial decisions. Computational modelling indicated that participants use similar mental magnitude representations in both tasks, with correlated precision across perceptual and risky choices. Participants with more precise magnitude representations in parietal cortex showed less variable behaviour and less risk aversion. Our results highlight that at least some individual characteristics of economic behaviour can reflect capacity limitations in perceptual processing rather than processes that assign subjective values to monetary outcomes.
人们普遍厌恶风险,宁愿选择较小的确定收益,也不愿选择较大的不确定收益。经济理论通常通过假设凹效用函数来解释这一点。在这里,我们提供的证据表明,风险厌恶也可能源于对较大货币收益的相对低估,这是一种基于数值大小的噪声对数编码的感知偏差。我们通过心理物理学和功能磁共振成像来证实这一点,在进行大小感知任务时测量大小表示的行为和神经敏锐度,并将这些度量与单独的风险金融决策期间的风险态度相关联。计算模型表明,参与者在两个任务中使用相似的心理大小表示,在感知和风险选择中具有相关性的精度。顶叶皮层中具有更精确的大小表示的参与者表现出较少的行为变化和较少的风险厌恶。我们的结果表明,至少某些经济行为的个体特征可以反映感知处理中的能力限制,而不是将主观价值分配给货币收益的过程。