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与丹麦学校中 SARS-CoV-2 病例聚集形成相关的因素:一项基于全国登记的观察性研究。

Factors associated with the formation of SARS-CoV-2 case-clusters in Danish schools: a nationwide register-based observational study.

机构信息

Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Prevention, Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.

ECDC Fellowship Programme, Field Epidemiology Path (EPIET), European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), Stockholm, Sweden.

出版信息

Epidemiol Infect. 2023 Jul 19;151:e168. doi: 10.1017/S0950268823001188.

Abstract

A register-based retrospective observational study was conducted to describe SARS-CoV-2 cases and case-clusters in schoolchildren of Danish primary and lower secondary schools and identify which factors were associated with the occurrence of case-clusters in schools. The study period was the autumn school semester 2021. Clusters were defined as three or more cases in a school-class level within 14 days. Descriptive analysis was carried out and multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to determine which factors were associated with case introductions (i.e., primary case) being linked to a cluster. More cases and clusters were identified in lower than in higher class levels. Out of 21,497 cases introduced into a school, 41.6% started a cluster. A higher assumed immunity level in a class level was significantly reducing the odds of a case introduction being linked to a cluster (e.g., assumed immunity of ≥80% vs <20%: OR: 0.28; 95%CI: 0.17-0.44). A previous infection (in the primary case) had a protective effect (OR: 0.58; 95%CI: 0.33-0.99). This study suggests that most cases appearing in schools did not induce clusters, but that once cluster occur sizes can be large. It further indicates that vaccination of children markedly reduces the risk of secondary infections.

摘要

一项基于登记的回顾性观察研究旨在描述丹麦小学和初中学生中 SARS-CoV-2 病例和病例群,并确定哪些因素与学校病例群的发生有关。研究期间为 2021 年秋季学期。群集被定义为在 14 天内同一学校班级中有 3 例或更多病例。进行了描述性分析,并进行了多变量逻辑回归分析,以确定哪些因素与病例引入(即原发性病例)与集群相关。较低年级的病例和病例群更多。在被引入学校的 21,497 例病例中,41.6%引发了集群。班级水平假设的免疫水平越高,病例引入与集群相关的可能性就越低(例如,假设免疫率≥80%与<20%相比:OR:0.28;95%CI:0.17-0.44)。先前的感染(原发性病例)具有保护作用(OR:0.58;95%CI:0.33-0.99)。本研究表明,大多数出现在学校的病例并未引发集群,但一旦发生集群,规模可能会很大。它进一步表明,儿童接种疫苗可显著降低二次感染的风险。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/123a/10600729/36cacffe4433/S0950268823001188_fig1.jpg

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