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解决营养不良双重负担的方法还能带来健康和环境效益。

Solutions to the double burden of malnutrition also generate health and environmental benefits.

作者信息

Lopez Barrera Emiliano, Hertel Thomas

机构信息

Department of Agricultural Economics, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA.

Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, USA.

出版信息

Nat Food. 2023 Jul;4(7):616-624. doi: 10.1038/s43016-023-00798-7. Epub 2023 Jul 24.

Abstract

Present food consumption patterns will intensify pressure on natural resources, while poor nutrition is expected to prevail at both low and high levels of calorie consumption. To better understand the interplay between food security, environment and health, we use an integrated framework that allows for the analysis of the dynamics of the double burden of malnutrition and its health and environmental impacts by 2050. We find that excessive caloric intake will be key in rising body mass index levels, particularly in emerging economies. Because higher levels of body mass index will be reached at younger ages, future cohorts will increase their exposure to health risks, including coronary heart disease, stroke, site-specific cancers and type 2 diabetes. This framework also offers insights into the health, food and environmental security impacts of changing food demand behaviour. We find that reductions in food purchasing-associated with the mitigation of food waste and excessive food intake-are more important than changes in dietary composition in increasing food affordability and reducing pressure on cropland expansion, whereas dietary composition is critical in driving greenhouse gas emissions.

摘要

当前的食物消费模式将加剧对自然资源的压力,而在低热量和高热量消费水平下,营养不良预计仍将普遍存在。为了更好地理解粮食安全、环境与健康之间的相互作用,我们使用了一个综合框架,该框架能够分析到2050年营养不良双重负担的动态变化及其对健康和环境的影响。我们发现,热量摄入过多将是体重指数上升的关键因素,尤其是在新兴经济体。由于在更年轻的年龄段就会达到更高的体重指数水平,未来人群将增加患健康风险的几率,包括冠心病、中风、特定部位癌症和2型糖尿病。该框架还为食物需求行为变化对健康、食物和环境安全的影响提供了见解。我们发现,与减少食物浪费和过量食物摄入相关的食物购买量减少,在提高食物可承受性和减轻耕地扩张压力方面,比饮食结构的变化更为重要,而饮食结构在推动温室气体排放方面至关重要。

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