Bacci S, Fabbricatore R, Iannario Maria
Department of Statistics, Computer Science, Applications "G. Parenti", University of Florence, Firenze, Italy.
Department of Social Sciences, University of Naples Federico II, Napoli, Italy.
J Appl Stat. 2021 Jun 7;50(11-12):2575-2598. doi: 10.1080/02664763.2021.1937584. eCollection 2023.
Aim of the contribution is analyzing potential events that may negatively impact individuals, assets, and/or the environment, and making judgments about the perceived personal and social riskiness of Covid-19 compared to other hazards belonging to health (AIDS, cancer, infarction), environmental (climate change), behavioral (serious car accidents), and technological (nuclear weapons) domains. The comparative risk analysis has been performed on a survey data collected during the first Italian Covid-19 lockdown. An item response theory model for polytomously scored items has been implemented for the analysis of the positioning of Covid-19 with respect to the other hazards in terms of perceived risk. Among the attributes determining the hazard's perceived risk, Covid-19 distinguishes for the knowledge of risks from the hazard, media attention, and fear caused by the hazard in the peers. Besides, through a latent regression analysis, the role of some individual characteristics on the perceived risk for Covid-19 has been examined. Our contribution allows us to disentangle among several aspects of hazards and describe the main factors affecting the perceived risk. It also contributes to determine if existing control measures are perceived as adequate and the interest for new media with related impact on a person's reaction.
本文的目的是分析可能对个人、资产和/或环境产生负面影响的潜在事件,并就新型冠状病毒肺炎(Covid-19)与属于健康领域(艾滋病、癌症、心肌梗死)、环境领域(气候变化)、行为领域(严重车祸)和技术领域(核武器)的其他危害相比所感知到的个人和社会风险程度做出判断。比较风险分析是基于在意大利首次实施Covid-19封锁期间收集的调查数据进行的。已采用一种针对多分类计分项目的项目反应理论模型,来分析Covid-19在感知风险方面相对于其他危害的定位。在决定危害感知风险的属性中,Covid-19在对危害风险的了解、媒体关注度以及该危害在同龄人中引起的恐惧方面表现突出。此外,通过潜在回归分析,研究了一些个体特征对Covid-19感知风险的作用。我们的研究有助于理清危害的多个方面,并描述影响感知风险的主要因素。它还有助于确定现有的控制措施是否被认为足够充分,以及新媒体对个人反应的相关影响所引发的关注度。