State Key Laboratory of Silkworm Genome Biology, Southwest University, Beibei, Chongqing 400715, China; Chongqing Key Laboratory of Microsporidia Infection and Control, Southwest University, Beibei, Chongqing 400715, China.
Department of Biology, Mai Nefhi College of Science, Mai-Nefhi, Eritrea.
Afr Health Sci. 2023 Mar;23(1):108-119. doi: 10.4314/ahs.v23i1.13.
Coronavirus-19 (COVID-19) is a novel, highly infectious, and potentially fatal communicable pandemic disease. It has taken longer to reach Africa than the other continents.
To examine the pattern of COVID-19 in the Horn of Africa countries from March to December 2020.
A prospective cross-sectional study in which the total number of daily reported cases and deaths were collected from the official website of the World Health Organization (WHO) and Worldometer. Data were standardized based on the total population provided by World Population Prospects 2020 per million. Data sources of WHO reports and governmental reports from March to December 2020 were analyzed in this study. Data extraction was done using the microsoft excel spreadsheet tool, variables relating to the countries were computed in terms of frequencies and percentages.
The findings revealed that as of 31st December 2020, 136,129 (7590 per million) cases were reported from the four countries in the Horn of Africa. The overall case fatality rate (CFR) in the Horn of Africa was 1.14%. The majority of the cases were reported from Djibouti (77.20%), followed by Ethiopia (14.07%), Eritrea (4.87%), and Somalia (3.86%). The highest case fatality rate (0.81%) was from Djibouti, and the lowest (0.01%) was from Eritrea.
The epidemiological pattern of COVID-19 among the Horn of African countries seems to have slow progress, given the prevalence of the new infections remains low, and the death toll seems stable throughout the study periods, except for Djibouti. Hence, the prevention control measures implemented in the countries should be further strengthened and supported. It is recommended that relevant stakeholders responsible for tackling the COVID-19 pandemic should put up measures to curb the spread of the virus in the region and set up a crisis management system to combat future pandemics.
新型冠状病毒肺炎（COVID-19）是一种新型的、高度传染性的、潜在致命的传染性大流行疾病。它比其他大陆到达非洲的时间更长。
分析 2020 年 3 月至 12 月期间非洲之角国家 COVID-19 的流行模式。
这是一项前瞻性的横断面研究，从世界卫生组织（WHO）和世界实时统计数据网站（Worldometer）官方网站收集每日报告的病例和死亡总数。根据 2020 年世界人口展望提供的每百万人口总数，对数据进行标准化。对 2020 年 3 月至 12 月期间的 WHO 报告和政府报告进行了数据分析。使用 Microsoft Excel 电子表格工具提取数据，以频率和百分比的形式计算与各国相关的变量。
截至 2020 年 12 月 31 日，非洲之角的四个国家报告了 136129 例（7590/百万）病例。非洲之角的总病死率（CFR）为 1.14%。大多数病例来自吉布提（77.20%），其次是埃塞俄比亚（14.07%）、厄立特里亚（4.87%）和索马里（3.86%）。病死率最高（0.81%）的是吉布提，最低（0.01%）的是厄立特里亚。
非洲之角国家 COVID-19 的流行模式似乎进展缓慢，因为新感染的流行率仍然较低，而且在整个研究期间，死亡人数似乎保持稳定，除了吉布提。因此，应进一步加强和支持各国实施的预防控制措施。建议负责应对 COVID-19 大流行的相关利益攸关方采取措施遏制该地区病毒的传播，并建立一个危机管理系统以应对未来的大流行。
