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热浪:在气候变化的背景下,全球研究是否反映了日益严重的威胁?

Heatwaves: does global research reflect the growing threat in the light of climate change?

机构信息

Institute of Occupational, Social and Environmental Medicine, Goethe University Frankfurt, Theodor-Stern-Kai 7, 60590, Frankfurt, Germany.

出版信息

Global Health. 2023 Aug 11;19(1):56. doi: 10.1186/s12992-023-00955-4.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

With the increasing impacts of climate change, heatwaves are placing an enormous burden on health and social systems and threatening ecological diversity around the world. Heatwaves are increasing not only in frequency but also in severity and magnitude. They are causing the deaths of thousands of people. Research is needed on a multidisciplinary, supra-regional, and regional level.

METHODS

A detailed evaluation of the research conducted is not yet available. Therefore, this study provides a detailed insight into the publication landscape to identify key players, incentives, and requirements for future scientific efforts that are useful not only for scientists but also to stakeholders and project funders.

RESULTS

The number of publications on heatwaves is increasing, outpacing the trend of research indexed by the Science Citation Index Expanded. However, funding is lagging behind comparatively. Looking at absolute numbers, the USA, Australia, China, and some European countries have been identified as major players in heatwave research. If socio-economic numbers are included, Switzerland and Portugal lead the way. Australia and the UK dominate if the change in heatwave-exposed people is included. Nevertheless, exposure and economic strength of publishing countries were identified as the main drivers of national research interests. Previous heatwaves, in particular, have driven research efforts primarily at the national level.

CONCLUSION

For an efficient monitoring or early detection system that also includes the economically weak regions, internationally networked efforts are necessary to enable preventive measures and damage limitation against heatwaves. Regardless of previous regional extreme heat events, research approaches should be focused to the global level.

摘要

背景

随着气候变化影响的加剧,热浪给全球的健康和社会系统带来了巨大负担,并威胁着生态多样性。热浪不仅在频率上增加,而且在强度和规模上也在增加。它们导致了数千人死亡。需要在多学科、超区域和区域层面进行研究。

方法

目前还没有对已进行的研究进行详细评估。因此,本研究详细洞察了出版物的状况,以确定未来科学工作的关键参与者、激励因素和要求,这些不仅对科学家有用,对利益相关者和项目资助者也有用。

结果

有关热浪的出版物数量正在增加,超过了科学引文索引扩展版所收录的研究趋势。然而,资金相对滞后。从绝对值来看,美国、澳大利亚、中国和一些欧洲国家已成为热浪研究的主要参与者。如果考虑社会经济数字,瑞士和葡萄牙则处于领先地位。如果包括暴露于热浪中的人数的变化,澳大利亚和英国则占据主导地位。然而,出版国家的暴露程度和经济实力被确定为国家研究兴趣的主要驱动因素。以前的热浪,特别是在国家一级推动了研究工作。

结论

为了建立一个有效的监测或早期检测系统,该系统还包括经济薄弱地区,有必要进行国际联网努力,以采取预防措施并减轻热浪的影响。无论以前的区域极端高温事件如何,研究方法都应侧重于全球层面。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4d18/10422716/4c5fbd5c942f/12992_2023_955_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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