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过热与研究不足:阿拉伯半岛与热相关健康影响的范围综述

Overheated and Understudied: A Scoping Review of Heat-Related Health Impacts in the Arabian Peninsula.

作者信息

Teyton Anais, Bailey Jennifer, Luo Eqi, Ajaj Rahaf, Raymond Colin, Tuholske Cascade, Benmarhnia Tarik

机构信息

Herbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity Science University of California San Diego CA USA.

School of Public Health San Diego State University San Diego CA USA.

出版信息

Geohealth. 2025 Jun 30;9(7):e2024GH001277. doi: 10.1029/2024GH001277. eCollection 2025 Jul.

Abstract

Extreme heat is worsening due to climate change, and, in combination with increasing urban growth, is an escalating public health concern. In the Arabian Peninsula, the wet-bulb temperature is projected to surpass theoretical human tolerance limits during the 21st century. Yet, heat research in the region has generally not focused on health impacts, and it is unclear how epidemiologic literature has investigated this. We performed a scoping review to examine the existing literature that assessed the relationship between extreme heat and health outcomes in the Arabian Peninsula, collecting papers published from 2010 to 2024 from three databases. We identified and extracted detailed information from a limited number of studies ( = 12). The greatest number of studies were conducted in Kuwait ( = 8), with others in Saudi Arabia ( = 4), and Qatar, Oman, Yemen, and the United Arab Emirates ( = 1 each). Average temperature was the most used exposure ( = 9) assessed at the daily level ( = 10), using one or several meteorological stations ( = 9) from a single city ( = 8). The outcome was predominantly daily-level ( = 10) mortality ( = 9) assessed at an ecological scale ( = 10) as opposed to the individual scale. While most studies included confounders ( = 10), their selection was not always consistent with best practices. Most papers did not assess effect modification ( = 8), and none investigated modification by land-cover and land-use change on the heat-health relationship. We provide future research recommendations based on our findings. Additional studies are critical to better understand the heat-health relationship in the Arabian Peninsula, which can aid intervention implementation.

摘要

由于气候变化,极端高温正在加剧,再加上城市的不断扩张,这日益成为一个公共卫生问题。在阿拉伯半岛,预计21世纪湿球温度将超过人类理论耐受极限。然而,该地区的高温研究通常未聚焦于对健康的影响,目前尚不清楚流行病学文献对此是如何进行调查的。我们进行了一项范围综述,以检视评估阿拉伯半岛极端高温与健康结果之间关系的现有文献,从三个数据库收集了2010年至2024年发表的论文。我们从数量有限的研究(n = 12)中识别并提取了详细信息。研究数量最多的是科威特(n = 8),其他的分别来自沙特阿拉伯(n = 4)、卡塔尔、阿曼、也门和阿拉伯联合酋长国(各n = 1)。平均温度是最常使用的暴露指标(n = 9),在每日层面进行评估(n = 10),使用来自单个城市的一个或多个气象站(n = 9)(n = 8)。结果主要是每日层面(n = 10)的死亡率(n = 9),在生态层面进行评估(n = 10),而非个体层面。虽然大多数研究纳入了混杂因素(n = 10),但其选择并不总是符合最佳实践。大多数论文未评估效应修饰(n = 8),且没有一项研究调查土地覆盖和土地利用变化对高温与健康关系的修饰作用。我们根据研究结果提出了未来研究建议。更多研究对于更好地理解阿拉伯半岛的高温与健康关系至关重要,这有助于干预措施的实施。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c9a8/12207249/5e8af83e06a7/GH2-9-e2024GH001277-g004.jpg

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