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孟加拉国基于医院的霍乱哨点监测:2014 至 2021 年的流行病学结果。

National Hospital-Based Sentinel Surveillance for Cholera in Bangladesh: Epidemiological Results from 2014 to 2021.

机构信息

Infectious Diseases Division, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b), Dhaka, Bangladesh.

School of Medical Science, Griffith University, Gold Coast, Australia.

出版信息

Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2023 Aug 14;109(3):575-583. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.23-0074. Print 2023 Sep 6.

Abstract

Despite focusing on cholera burden, epidemiologic studies in Bangladesh tend to be limited in geographic scope. National-level cholera surveillance data can help inform cholera control strategies and assess the effectiveness of preventive measures. Hospital-based sentinel surveillance among patients with suspected diarrhea in different sites across Bangladesh has been conducted since 2014. We selected an age-stratified sample of 20 suspected cholera cases each week from each sentinel site, tested stool for the presence of Vibrio cholerae O1/O139 by culture, and characterized antibiotic susceptibility in a subset of culture-positive isolates. We estimated the odds of being culture positive among suspected cholera cases according to different potential risk factors. From May 4, 2014 through November 30, 2021, we enrolled 51,414 suspected cases from our sentinel surveillance sites. We confirmed V. cholerae O1 in 5.2% of suspected cases through microbiological culture. The highest proportion of confirmed cholera cases was from Chittagong (9.7%) and the lowest was from Rangpur Division (0.9%). Age, number of purges, duration of diarrhea, occupation, and season were the most relevant factors in distinguishing cholera-positive suspected cases from cholera-negative suspected cases. Nationwide surveillance data show that cholera is circulating in Bangladesh and the southern region is more affected than the northern region. Antimicrobial resistance patterns indicate that multidrug resistance (resistance to three or more classes of antibiotics) of V. cholerae O1 could be a major threat in the future. Alignment of these results with Bangladesh's cholera-control program will be the foundation for future research into the efficacy of cholera-control initiatives.

摘要

尽管聚焦于霍乱负担,孟加拉国的流行病学研究往往在地理范围上受到限制。国家级霍乱监测数据可以帮助制定霍乱控制策略并评估预防措施的效果。自 2014 年以来,孟加拉国不同地点的基于医院的哨点监测一直在对疑似腹泻患者进行监测。我们从每个哨点每周选择 20 名年龄分层的疑似霍乱病例进行抽样,通过培养检测粪便中是否存在霍乱弧菌 O1/O139,并对培养阳性分离物的一部分进行抗生素敏感性特征分析。我们根据不同的潜在风险因素,估计疑似霍乱病例中培养阳性的可能性。从 2014 年 5 月 4 日至 2021 年 11 月 30 日,我们从哨点监测点招募了 51414 名疑似病例。通过微生物培养,我们在 5.2%的疑似病例中确认了霍乱弧菌 O1。在确认的霍乱病例中,比例最高的是来自吉大港的病例(9.7%),最低的是来自朗布尔专区的病例(0.9%)。年龄、腹泻次数、腹泻持续时间、职业和季节是区分霍乱阳性疑似病例和霍乱阴性疑似病例的最相关因素。全国范围内的监测数据表明,霍乱在孟加拉国流行,南部地区比北部地区受影响更大。抗生素耐药模式表明,霍乱弧菌 O1 的多药耐药性(对三种或三种以上类别的抗生素耐药)可能是未来的一个主要威胁。将这些结果与孟加拉国的霍乱控制计划相协调,将为未来研究霍乱控制措施的效果奠定基础。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0842/10484282/64e2c610a231/ajtmh.23-0074f1.jpg

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