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优化印度的犬狂犬病疫苗接种。

Optimising rabies vaccination of dogs in India.

机构信息

Department of Biology, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, ON, Canada.

Rethink Priorities, San Francisco, CA, USA.

出版信息

Epidemiol Infect. 2023 Aug 22;151:e164. doi: 10.1017/S0950268823001334.

Abstract

Dog vaccination is the key to controlling rabies in human populations. However, in countries like India, with large free-roaming dog populations, vaccination strategies that rely only on parenteral vaccines are unlikely to be either feasible or successful. Oral rabies vaccines could be used to reach these dogs. We use cost estimates for an Indian city and linear optimisation to find the most cost-effective vaccination strategies. We show that an oral bait handout method for dogs that are never confined can reduce the per dog costs of vaccination and increase vaccine coverage. This finding holds even when baits cost up to 10x the price of parenteral vaccines, if there is a large dog population or proportion of dogs that are never confined. We suggest that oral rabies vaccine baits will be part of the most cost-effective strategies to eliminate human deaths from dog-mediated rabies by 2030.

摘要

给狗接种疫苗是控制人群中狂犬病的关键。然而,在印度这样的国家,流浪狗数量庞大,仅依靠注射疫苗的策略不太可行或成功。口服狂犬病疫苗可用于接触这些狗。我们使用印度一个城市的成本估算和线性优化来找到最具成本效益的疫苗接种策略。我们表明,对于从未被圈养的狗,通过分发口服诱饵的方法可以降低每只狗的接种成本并增加疫苗覆盖率。即使诱饵的价格是注射疫苗的 10 倍,如果狗的数量庞大或从未被圈养的狗的比例很大,这一发现仍然成立。我们认为,到 2030 年,口服狂犬病疫苗诱饵将成为消除狗传播狂犬病导致人类死亡的最具成本效益的策略之一。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5275/10600733/41796855e512/S0950268823001334_fig1.jpg

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