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人工智能预测部分肾切除术后的术后肌酐水平。

Prediction of Postoperative Creatinine Levels by Artificial Intelligence after Partial Nephrectomy.

机构信息

Synergy A.I. Co., Ltd., Seoul 07985, Republic of Korea.

Department of Urology, College of Medicine, Hallym University, Chuncheon 24253, Republic of Korea.

出版信息

Medicina (Kaunas). 2023 Jul 31;59(8):1402. doi: 10.3390/medicina59081402.

DOI:10.3390/medicina59081402
PMID:37629692
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10456500/
Abstract

: Multiple factors are associated with postoperative functional outcomes, such as acute kidney injury (AKI), following partial nephrectomy (PN). The pre-, peri-, and postoperative factors are heavily intertwined and change dynamically, making it difficult to predict postoperative renal function. Therefore, we aimed to build an artificial intelligence (AI) model that utilizes perioperative factors to predict residual renal function and incidence of AKI following PN. : This retrospective study included 785 patients (training set 706, test set 79) from six tertiary referral centers who underwent open or robotic PN. Forty-four perioperative features were used as inputs to train the AI prediction model. XG-Boost and genetic algorithms were used for the final model selection and to determine feature importance. The primary outcome measure was immediate postoperative serum creatinine (Cr) level. The secondary outcome was the incidence of AKI (estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 60 mL/h). The average difference between the true and predicted serum Cr levels was considered the mean absolute error (MAE) and was used as a model evaluation parameter. : An AI model for predicting immediate postoperative serum Cr levels was selected from 2000 candidates by providing the lowest MAE (0.03 mg/dL). The model-predicted immediate postoperative serum Cr levels correlated closely with the measured values (R = 0.9669). The sensitivity and specificity of the model for predicting AKI were 85.5% and 99.7% in the training set, and 100.0% and 100.0% in the test set, respectively. The limitations of this study included its retrospective design. : Our AI model successfully predicted accurate serum Cr levels and the likelihood of AKI. The accuracy of our model suggests that personalized guidelines to optimize multidisciplinary plans involving pre- and postoperative care need to be developed.

摘要

多种因素与肾部分切除术后的功能结果相关,如急性肾损伤(AKI)。术前、术中和术后的因素交织在一起且动态变化,使得术后肾功能的预测变得困难。因此,我们旨在建立一种利用围手术期因素预测肾部分切除术后残余肾功能和 AKI 发生率的人工智能(AI)模型。

本回顾性研究纳入了来自六个三级转诊中心的 785 例接受开放或机器人肾部分切除术的患者(训练集 706 例,测试集 79 例)。44 个围手术期特征被用作输入,以训练 AI 预测模型。使用 XG-Boost 和遗传算法进行最终模型选择和特征重要性的确定。主要结局指标是术后即刻血清肌酐(Cr)水平。次要结局是 AKI 的发生率(估计肾小球滤过率(eGFR)<60 mL/h)。真实和预测血清 Cr 水平之间的平均差异被认为是平均绝对误差(MAE),并被用作模型评估参数。

通过提供最低的 MAE(0.03mg/dL),从 2000 个候选者中选择了预测术后即刻血清 Cr 水平的 AI 模型。模型预测的术后即刻血清 Cr 水平与测量值密切相关(R=0.9669)。在训练集中,模型预测 AKI 的灵敏度和特异性分别为 85.5%和 99.7%,在测试集中分别为 100.0%和 100.0%。本研究的局限性在于其回顾性设计。

我们的 AI 模型成功预测了准确的血清 Cr 水平和 AKI 的可能性。我们的模型的准确性表明,需要制定个性化的指南来优化涉及术前和术后护理的多学科计划。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e4bc/10456500/38d156c31a59/medicina-59-01402-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e4bc/10456500/4887b73ab310/medicina-59-01402-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e4bc/10456500/5380d070880f/medicina-59-01402-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e4bc/10456500/38d156c31a59/medicina-59-01402-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e4bc/10456500/4887b73ab310/medicina-59-01402-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e4bc/10456500/5380d070880f/medicina-59-01402-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e4bc/10456500/38d156c31a59/medicina-59-01402-g003.jpg

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