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中国三大城市群的环境质量评估及空间溢出效应:一种Meta-EBM方法

Environmental quality assessment and spatial spillover effects of three urban agglomerations in China: A Meta-EBM approach.

作者信息

Guan Xin-Ge, Ren Fang-Rong, Cui Zhe, Zhang Xue-Rong, Zhang Xuan, Jing Zhi-Ye

机构信息

Business School, Hohai University, Nanjing, 211100, PR China.

College of Economics and Management, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing, 210037, PR China.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2023 Aug 9;9(8):e19028. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e19028. eCollection 2023 Aug.

Abstract

The new development form of urban agglomeration has greatly promoted economic and social progress in recent years, but it is also facing severe environmental pollution problems. Understanding the status quo of environmental efficiency in urban agglomerations and its leading driving forces is an important prerequisite for formulating energy conservation and emission reduction policies. This research uses the Meta Epsilon Based Measure (Meta-EBM) model to measure the environmental emission efficiency of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei(BTH), Yangtze River Delta (YRD) and Pearl River Delta (PRD) urban agglomerations in China from 2014 to 2018 so as to improve on the inability of traditional Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) to combine linear and non-linear characteristics, and employs Moran's I index and spatial econometric methods to analyze their spatial dependence and main driving factors. The results demonstrate that the overall environmental efficiency of the three major urban agglomerations in the five years from 2014 to 2018 presents a wave-like development and then tends to be flat. The itemized efficiency of economic outputs has maintained a relatively high level with the environmental output index exhibiting the best efficiency for industrial wastewater, followed by industrial sulfur dioxide (SO). The scores of the two indicators for inhalable fine particle emissions (PM) and industrial smoke and dust in each urban agglomeration are not ideal, and there are obvious differences between regions. Among them, YRD and PRD are relatively inferior. From the perspective of spatial spillover effects, various indicators show diverse characteristics at different development stages of the regions. Population and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) have a positive effect on environmental efficiency, while both Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita and transportation tend to show greater negative effects on regional environmental optimization. This study proposes countermeasures as follows. Each urban agglomeration should set up measures suitable to local conditions and give full play to their location advantages. They can also use space radiation to promote sector economic development and optimize urban environmental benefits.

摘要

近年来,城市群这种新的发展形式极大地推动了经济和社会进步,但同时也面临着严峻的环境污染问题。了解城市群环境效率的现状及其主要驱动因素是制定节能减排政策的重要前提。本研究使用基于元ε测度(Meta-EBM)模型来衡量2014年至2018年中国京津冀(BTH)、长江三角洲(YRD)和珠江三角洲(PRD)城市群的环境排放效率,以改善传统数据包络分析(DEA)无法结合线性和非线性特征的不足,并采用莫兰指数(Moran's I)和空间计量方法来分析它们的空间依赖性和主要驱动因素。结果表明,2014年至2018年这五年间,三大城市群的整体环境效率呈现出波浪式发展,随后趋于平稳。经济产出的分项效率一直保持在较高水平,环境产出指数方面,工业废水的效率最佳,其次是工业二氧化硫(SO)。各城市群中可吸入细颗粒物排放(PM)和工业烟尘这两项指标的得分不理想,且地区间存在明显差异。其中,长三角和珠三角相对较差。从空间溢出效应的角度来看,不同指标在各地区不同发展阶段呈现出不同特征。人口和归一化植被指数(NDVI)对环境效率有正向影响,而人均国内生产总值(GDP)和交通对区域环境优化往往呈现出更大的负面影响。本研究提出如下对策。各城市群应因地制宜制定措施,充分发挥自身区位优势。还可利用空间辐射促进区域经济发展,优化城市环境效益。

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