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特大城市对区域工业污染减排的因果关系及动态溢出效应。

Causality and dynamic spillover effects of megacities on regional industrial pollution reduction.

作者信息

Wang Wei, Wang Haibo, Huang Jun, Yang Huijun, Li Jiefang, Liu Qinglan, Wang Zelang

机构信息

College of Economics and Management, Chang'an University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710064, China.

A.R. Sanchez Jr. School of Business, Texas A&M International University, Laredo, TX, 78041, United States.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2023 Mar 2;9(3):e14047. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e14047. eCollection 2023 Mar.

DOI:10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e14047
PMID:36938459
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10015212/
Abstract

Regional economic power and local environmental policies have a substantial impact on pollution reduction in urban agglomerations (UAs); however, whether megacities in UAs exert spillover effects of pollution reduction on surrounding cities remains unknown. This study presents a causal analytic framework to evaluate the spillover effects of megacities on regional industrial pollution reduction in three major UAs in China between 2005 and 2016. The interaction between industrial pollution reduction and infrastructure investment indicators was also examined. Results indicated a good fit for spatial spillover of sulfur dioxide reduction (SR) in the Pearl River Delta (PRD) and Yangtze River Delta (YRD) but not in the Beijing-Hebei-Tianjin cluster (JJJ). Spatial spillover of dust reduction (DR) was evident in the PRD and JJJ but not the YRD. Spatial analysis showed that infrastructure investment indicators, at megacity and UA levels, had short-term spillover effects on surrounding cities for DR but not SR. However, spatial spillover effects, at both the city and UA levels, were substantial over the long term. In addition, the results of the spatial-time lag analysis suggest a linear relationship between pollution control-related infrastructure investment indicators and long-term pollution reduction. This study provides new information regarding the spatial spillover effects of megacities on regional industrial pollution reduction in UAs.

摘要

区域经济实力和地方环境政策对城市群的污染减排具有重大影响；然而，城市群中的大城市是否会对周边城市产生污染减排的溢出效应仍不明确。本研究提出了一个因果分析框架，以评估2005年至2016年间中国三大城市群中大城市对区域工业污染减排的溢出效应。同时还考察了工业污染减排与基础设施投资指标之间的相互作用。结果表明，珠江三角洲（PRD）和长江三角洲（YRD）地区二氧化硫减排（SR）的空间溢出拟合良好，但京津冀集群（JJJ）地区并非如此。珠三角和京津冀地区降尘（DR）的空间溢出明显，但长三角地区不明显。空间分析表明，大城市和城市群层面的基础设施投资指标对周边城市的降尘有短期溢出效应，但对二氧化硫减排没有。然而，从长期来看，城市和城市群层面的空间溢出效应都很显著。此外，时空滞后分析结果表明，与污染控制相关的基础设施投资指标与长期污染减排之间存在线性关系。本研究提供了关于大城市对城市群区域工业污染减排的空间溢出效应的新信息。

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