Laboratório de Flavivírus, Instituto Oswaldo Cruz, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Instituto Rene Rachou, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil.
Sci Adv. 2023 Sep;9(35):eadg9204. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.adg9204. Epub 2023 Sep 1.
Despite the considerable morbidity and mortality of yellow fever virus (YFV) infections in Brazil, our understanding of disease outbreaks is hampered by limited viral genomic data. Here, through a combination of phylogenetic and epidemiological models, we reconstructed the recent transmission history of YFV within different epidemic seasons in Brazil. A suitability index based on the highly domesticated was able to capture the seasonality of reported human infections. Spatial modeling revealed spatial hotspots with both past reporting and low vaccination coverage, which coincided with many of the largest urban centers in the Southeast. Phylodynamic analysis unraveled the circulation of three distinct lineages and provided proof of the directionality of a known spatial corridor that connects the endemic North with the extra-Amazonian basin. This study illustrates that genomics linked with eco-epidemiology can provide new insights into the landscape of YFV transmission, augmenting traditional approaches to infectious disease surveillance and control.
尽管巴西的黄热病病毒 (YFV) 感染带来了相当大的发病率和死亡率,但由于病毒基因组数据有限,我们对疾病爆发的了解受到了阻碍。在这里,我们通过结合系统发育和流行病学模型,重建了 YFV 在巴西不同流行季节的近期传播历史。基于高度驯化的 的适合度指数能够捕捉到报告的人类感染的季节性。空间建模揭示了具有既往报告和低疫苗接种率的空间热点,这些热点与东南部的许多最大城市中心相吻合。系统发育动力学分析揭示了三个不同谱系的循环,并提供了已知连接地方性北方与亚马孙河以外流域的空间走廊方向性的证据。这项研究表明,与生态流行病学相结合的基因组学可以为 YFV 传播的景观提供新的见解,补充了传染病监测和控制的传统方法。