Division of Newborn Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Washington University, St. Louis, Missouri.
Division of Neonatology, Department of Pediatrics, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois.
Pediatr Neurol. 2023 Dec;149:26-31. doi: 10.1016/j.pediatrneurol.2023.09.001. Epub 2023 Sep 7.
Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is the gold standard for outcome prediction after hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE). Published scoring systems contain duplicative or conflicting elements.
Infants ≥36 weeks gestational age (GA) with moderate to severe HIE, therapeutic hypothermia treatment, and T1/T2/diffusion-weighted imaging were identified. Adverse motor outcome was defined as Bayley-III motor score <85 or Alberta Infant Motor Scale <10 centile at 12 to 24 months. MRIs were scored using a published scoring system. Logistic regression (LR) and gradient-boosted deep learning (DL) models quantified the importance of clinical and imaging features. The cohort underwent 80/20 train/test split with fivefold cross validation. Feature selection eliminated low-value features.
A total of 117 infants were identified with mean GA = 38.6 weeks, median cord pH = 7.01, and median 10-minute Apgar = 5. Adverse motor outcome was noted in 23 of 117 (20%). Putamen/globus pallidus injury on T1, GA, and cord pH were the most informative features. Feature selection improved model accuracy from 79% (48-feature MRI model) to 85% (three-feature model). The three-feature DL model had superior performance to the best LR model (area under the receiver-operator curve 0.69 versus 0.75).
The parsimonious DL model predicted adverse HIE motor outcomes with 85% accuracy using only three features (putamen/globus pallidus injury on T1, GA, and cord pH) and outperformed LR.
磁共振成像(MRI)是缺氧缺血性脑病(HIE)后预后预测的金标准。已发表的评分系统包含重复或冲突的元素。
确定胎龄(GA)≥36 周、有中重度 HIE、接受治疗性低温治疗且有 T1/T2/弥散加权成像的婴儿。不良运动结局定义为 12 至 24 个月时贝利 III 运动评分<85 或 Alberta 婴儿运动量表<10 百分位。使用已发表的评分系统对 MRI 进行评分。逻辑回归(LR)和梯度提升深度学习(DL)模型量化了临床和影像学特征的重要性。该队列进行了 80/20 的训练/测试分割和五重交叉验证。特征选择消除了低价值特征。
共确定了 117 名婴儿,平均 GA=38.6 周,中位数脐动脉 pH=7.01,中位数 10 分钟 Apgar=5。117 名婴儿中有 23 名(20%)出现不良运动结局。T1 上的苍白球/壳核损伤、GA 和脐动脉 pH 是最具信息量的特征。特征选择将模型准确性从 79%(48 个特征 MRI 模型)提高到 85%(三个特征模型)。三个特征的 DL 模型的性能优于最佳 LR 模型(接收器操作特征曲线下面积 0.69 对 0.75)。
使用 T1 上苍白球/壳核损伤、GA 和脐动脉 pH 这三个特征,简洁的 DL 模型可准确预测 85%的不良 HIE 运动结局,其性能优于 LR。