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短期颗粒物和臭氧共同暴露与死亡率风险的关联。

Association of Short-Term Co-Exposure to Particulate Matter and Ozone with Mortality Risk.

机构信息

Institute of Child and Adolescent Health, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, China.

Non-Communicable Chronic Disease Control and Prevention Institute, Jiangsu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jiangsu 210009, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Technol. 2023 Oct 24;57(42):15825-15834. doi: 10.1021/acs.est.3c04056. Epub 2023 Oct 1.

DOI:10.1021/acs.est.3c04056
PMID:37779243
Abstract

A complex regional air pollution problem dominated by particulate matter (PM) and ozone (O) needs drastic attention since the levels of O and PM are not decreasing in many parts of the world. Limited evidence is currently available regarding the association between co-exposure to PM and O and mortality. A multicounty time-series study was used to investigate the associations of short-term exposure to PM, PM, PM, and O with daily mortality from different causes, which was based on data obtained from the Mortality Surveillance System managed by the Jiangsu Province Center for Disease Control and Prevention of China and analyzed via overdispersed generalized additive models with random-effects meta-analysis. We investigated the interactions of PM and O on daily mortality and calculated the mortality fractions attributable to PM and O. Our results showed that PM is more strongly associated with daily mortality than PM, PM, and O, and percent increases in daily all-cause nonaccidental, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality were 1.37% (95% confidence interval (CI), 1.22-1.52%), 1.44% (95% CI, 1.25-1.63%), and 1.63% (95% CI, 1.25-2.01%), respectively, for a 10 μg/m increase in the 2 day average PM concentration. We found multiplicative and additive interactions of short-term co-exposure to PM and O on daily mortality. The risk of mortality was greatest among those with higher levels of exposure to both PM (especially PM) and O. Moreover, excess total and cardiovascular mortality due to PM exposure is highest in populations with higher O exposure levels. Our results highlight the importance of the collaborative governance of PM and O, providing a scientific foundation for pertinent standards and regulatory interventions.

摘要

一个以颗粒物 (PM) 和臭氧 (O) 为主导的复杂区域空气污染问题需要引起极大关注,因为在世界许多地区,O 和 PM 的水平并没有降低。目前关于 PM 和 O 共同暴露与死亡率之间的关联,证据有限。本研究采用多县时间序列研究,基于中国江苏省疾病预防控制中心管理的死亡率监测系统获取的数据,通过过度分散广义加性模型和随机效应荟萃分析,调查了短期暴露于 PM、PM、PM 和 O 与不同原因的每日死亡率之间的关联。我们研究了 PM 和 O 对每日死亡率的相互作用,并计算了归因于 PM 和 O 的死亡率分数。我们的结果表明,PM 与每日死亡率的相关性强于 PM、PM 和 O,每日全因非意外、心血管和呼吸道死亡率的百分比增加分别为 1.37%(95%置信区间 (CI),1.22-1.52%)、1.44%(95% CI,1.25-1.63%)和 1.63%(95% CI,1.25-2.01%),2 天平均 PM 浓度每增加 10 μg/m。我们发现短期 PM 和 O 共同暴露对每日死亡率具有乘法和加法相互作用。在 PM(尤其是 PM)和 O 暴露水平较高的人群中,死亡率的风险最大。此外,由于 PM 暴露导致的总死亡率和心血管死亡率的超额,在 O 暴露水平较高的人群中最高。我们的研究结果强调了 PM 和 O 协同治理的重要性,为相关标准和监管干预提供了科学依据。

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